KALSHI

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KALSHI
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*Data last updated: 2026-04-17 13:40 (UTC+8)

As of 2026-04-17 13:40, Kalshi (KALSHI) is priced at $0, with a total market cap of --, a P/E ratio of 0,00, and a dividend yield of 0,00%. Today, the stock price fluctuated between $0 and $0. The current price is 0,00% above the day's low and 0,00% below the day's high, with a trading volume of --. Over the past 52 weeks, KALSHI has traded between $0 to $0, and the current price is 0,00% away from the 52-week high.

KALSHI Key Stats

P/E Ratio0,00
Dividend Yield (TTM)0,00%
Shares Outstanding0,00

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2026-03-30

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2026-03-26

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2026-03-24

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Kalshi (KALSHI) is currently trading at $0, with a 24h change of 0,00%. The 52-week trading range is $0–$0.

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Kalshi (KALSHI) Latest News

2026-04-16 19:42

Prediction Markets Market Share Distribution Revealed, Kalshi Leads at 37.8%

Gate News message, latest data shows the market share distribution among prediction market platforms. Kalshi leads with 37.8% market share, followed by Polymarket at 35.3%. Opinion Labs xyz holds 14.4%, Predict dot fun accounts for 8.5%, and Crypto Com represents 2.5% of the market.

2026-04-16 13:32

Polymarket Prediction Market Outperforms Wall Street Analysts in Earnings Forecasts, Study Shows

Gate News message, April 16 — Research from Wolfe Research reveals that anonymous bettors on Polymarket prediction platform may forecast corporate earnings more accurately than Wall Street analysts. The study analyzed approximately 430 earnings reports covered on Polymarket, representing roughly one-quarter of the Russell 1000 Index (U.S. benchmark equity index) earnings total during the same period. When Polymarket users wagered that a company's earnings would fall short of expectations, their accuracy rate reached 44%, more than double the historical baseline of 18%. When traders expressed high confidence that earnings would exceed expectations, the accuracy rate climbed to 90%, surpassing the industry average of 80%. Yin Luo, head of quantitative research at Wolfe Research, attributed the high accuracy to the crowdsourced model: "Investors placing bets on Polymarket may be more diversified than market consensus expectations based on sell-side analysts' (financial firms' research teams) predictions." A working paper updated in early April by researchers from London Business School and Yale University found that these emerging prediction platforms integrate new information faster than analysts while avoiding certain inherent biases in Wall Street earnings forecasts. Researchers noted that participants bet with real money, and many users participating in earnings predictions are exceptionally professional; insider trading may also be a factor influencing prediction accuracy. Despite the platforms' potential, event contracts (derivatives linked to earnings outcomes) currently represent a small fraction of trading volume on Polymarket and competitor Kalshi. According to data tracked on Dune Analytics, Polymarket's earnings prediction trading volume was only $795,315 in the most recent week, accounting for just 0.03% of total platform volume. While financial institutions are investing heavily in prediction platforms, the sector remains in early stages.

2026-04-16 01:02

Kalshi Launches Parental Portal and AI Verification to Combat Underage Misuse of Prediction Market

Gate News message, April 16 — Kalshi, a prediction market platform, will introduce a parental portal that allows parents to submit identity information to verify whether their children have misused their credentials to bypass age restrictions. The platform will also add selfie verification to accounts, using facial recognition to confirm that users match their registered identity, according to CEO Tarek Mansour. These measures are designed to prevent minors from circumventing Kalshi's age requirements. The implementation reflects the platform's commitment to compliance with regulatory standards governing prediction markets. Kalshi is currently facing scrutiny at both state and federal levels in the United States over contracts related to sports events and military actions. The platform has argued in court that it falls under the exclusive jurisdiction of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), an independent agency overseeing derivatives markets. Related state-level lawsuits remain ongoing.

2026-04-15 13:16

Prediction Market Trading Volume Expected to Exceed $1 Trillion by 2030, Bernstein Report Highlights

Gate News message, April 15 — Bernstein released a research report predicting prediction market trading volume will grow from $51 billion in 2025 to approximately $1 trillion by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 80%. Trading volume is expected to reach $240 billion in 2026, while Polymarket and Kalshi combined have already accumulated $60 billion in trading volume year-to-date. The report identifies three core growth drivers: clarification of federal-level regulation, blockchain infrastructure supporting global liquidity, and integration by mainstream trading platforms. Industry revenue is projected to expand from approximately $400 million in 2025 to roughly $10.8 billion by 2030. Distribution capability is cited as a key competitive barrier in the sector. Major retail brokerages have achieved significant traction in prediction markets, with one platform reporting an annualized revenue scale of $350 million and advancing exchange infrastructure development. Another leading platform provides national access to over 1,000 contracts through its partnership model. Bernstein maintains "outperform" ratings on both platforms.

2026-04-14 04:15

预测平台 Kalshi 预告 4 月 27 日发布新产品,社区猜测或引入永续预测市场

Gate News 消息,4 月 14 日,预测平台 Kalshi 发布视频预告,宣布将于 4 月 27 日发布新产品。视频中展示绿色螺旋逐渐形成永续环形,最终出现"Timeless"(永恒)字样。社区推测,此次更新可能为引入无到期日的永续预测市场,突破 Kalshi 原有事件合约的期限限制,提升交易灵活性。

Hot Posts su Kalshi (KALSHI)

BeautifulDay

BeautifulDay

37 minuti fa
#KalshiFacesNevadaRegulatoryClash The escalating clash between Kalshi and Nevada regulators is not just a regional legal dispute—it is shaping into a defining battle over the future structure of financial markets versus gambling regulation. At the center of the conflict is a fundamental classification problem. Kalshi argues that its event-based contracts—covering outcomes like elections, economic indicators, and even sports—are financial derivatives regulated under federal law by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Nevada, however, views these same products as unlicensed gambling, requiring state-level approval and oversight. This is not a minor legal nuance—it determines who controls an entirely new asset class. Nevada’s stance has been aggressive. The state imposed a temporary ban and extended restrictions preventing Kalshi from operating locally, reinforcing its position that these contracts resemble sports betting and fall under gaming laws. At the same time, court proceedings in the Ninth Circuit are actively questioning whether Congress ever intended federal regulators to override state gambling authority in this domain. What makes this clash particularly complex is the growing inconsistency across jurisdictions. Some federal rulings and regulatory actions support Kalshi’s argument that these contracts qualify as “swaps,” placing them under federal jurisdiction. Meanwhile, several states—including Nevada—continue to push back, arguing that the practical function of these markets is indistinguishable from betting. This creates a fragmented legal landscape where the same product can be considered a financial instrument in one jurisdiction and illegal gambling in another. That fragmentation is dangerous for market structure. It introduces regulatory arbitrage, compliance uncertainty, and operational risk for platforms trying to scale nationally. Beyond jurisdiction, there is a deeper economic question: what exactly is being traded? Prediction markets claim to provide price discovery and crowd-based forecasting. However, critics argue that when contracts are tied to sports outcomes or political events, the informational value becomes secondary to speculative behavior—blurring the line between hedging and pure betting. The Nevada case also exposes a broader tension between innovation and regulatory intent. The original framework governing derivatives markets was never designed with mass-retail event speculation in mind. Applying it to prediction markets may technically work within legal definitions, but it challenges the spirit of existing laws. There are also systemic risks emerging: First, consumer protection. Unlike traditional financial markets, participants may not fully understand that these contracts lack intrinsic economic linkage to underlying assets, increasing the risk of misinformed speculation. Second, integrity concerns. As prediction markets expand into sensitive areas like politics and geopolitics, the risk of insider information exploitation becomes more pronounced, drawing attention from policymakers. Third, regulatory precedent. If Kalshi succeeds in establishing federal preemption, it could open the floodgates for similar platforms to bypass state gambling laws entirely. If Nevada prevails, it could severely limit the scalability of prediction markets across the U.S. Strategically, this is heading toward a higher court resolution. Conflicting rulings across circuits and states are increasing the likelihood that the issue reaches the Supreme Court, where a definitive interpretation of federal versus state authority will be required. The bigger picture is clear: this is not just about Kalshi or Nevada. It is about defining whether the future of event-based trading belongs to financial markets or remains confined within the boundaries of regulated gambling. The outcome will determine how far financial innovation can stretch before it collides with legal reality.
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