U.S. December CPI Data Released: Year-over-Year Increase of 2.4%, Slightly Below Expectations

Trump ordered a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and Hyperliquid crude oil futures prices rose 7%

U.S. President Trump blockaded the Strait of Hormuz because Iran refused to give up its nuclear weapons program, causing crude oil futures prices on the decentralized platform Hyperliquid to surge by 7%. The market saw intense fluctuations due to concerns about a supply disruption, making it an important venue for price discovery. Strategic petroleum reserves are about to run out, supply risks in the oil market are intensifying, and this could trigger even more severe inflation pressure.

CryptoQuant Analyst: In March, the U.S. CPI month-over-month increase hit a record high; if the U.S.-Iran conflict continues or forces the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted that although March CPI recorded the largest month-over-month increase, core CPI remained stable, indicating that U.S. inflation has not fully spread yet. Attention should be paid to upcoming PCE data. If the Iran-Iraq conflict continues, inflation could evolve into a systemic risk and affect economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue raising rates to respond.

Bitcoin Halving Two-Years Anniversary: Annual inflation rate drops to 0.85%, officially becoming a rarer asset than gold

The Bitcoin halving in April 2024 lowered its annual inflation rate to 0.85%, for the first time below gold’s 1.5–2%. Bitcoin’s scarcity comes from code rules: supply will gradually decrease, and another halving is expected again in 2028. This halving cycle witnessed increased participation from institutional investors, strengthening Bitcoin’s position as digital gold.

U.S. Bank Lowers Forecasts for U.S.-Europe Growth, Raises Inflation Expectations; Middle East Impact Is Uneven

Bank of America releases a report, adjusting its global economic outlook due to geopolitical shocks in the Middle East. The U.S. growth forecast for 2026 is lowered to 2.3%, and inflation is raised to 3.1%. The eurozone growth forecast is cut, with inflation raised to 3.3%. The report emphasizes that the impact of the shocks is uneven.

U.S.-Iran talks break down, BTC spikes then pulls back—how do geopolitical conflict and macro data affect the crypto market?

The breakdown of the nuclear talks between Iran and the U.S. caused Bitcoin to surge and then pull back, with the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and macroeconomic data becoming the focus. This article will explain the logic behind volatility in the crypto market amid geopolitical conflict and the movement of on-chain capital.

Bitcoin Posts Its Strongest Weekly Gain Since October 2025: CPI Cooldown and US-Iran Ceasefire Provide a Double Boost, Lifting the Price to $73K

Bitcoin’s weekly gain this week reached nearly 7%, marking the strongest single-week performance since October 2025, as the U.S. core CPI data came in below expectations and a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel boosted market sentiment. The price briefly broke through $73,000. Market expectations have intensified that the Federal Reserve may start cutting rates sooner, and technical indicators show volatility compression, suggesting that significant price swings may be ahead. In the short term, attention should be paid to the ceasefire negotiations and the Federal Reserve’s policy direction.