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$BTC - WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF?
April 2022 - January 2026
Almost 4 years ago. An ATH was made, price crashed hard for weeks (-45%). $BTC then consolidated for 4 months with pretty clear trendlines.
Before making a fakeout and resuming its strong downtrend.
The same pattern seems to be playing out for Bitcoin RIGHT NOW.
I hate to tell you this but if Bitcoin doesn't recover quickly and stays barely above 95k, we might get another dump soon.
April 2022 - January 2026
Almost 4 years ago. An ATH was made, price crashed hard for weeks (-45%). $BTC then consolidated for 4 months with pretty clear trendlines.
Before making a fakeout and resuming its strong downtrend.
The same pattern seems to be playing out for Bitcoin RIGHT NOW.
I hate to tell you this but if Bitcoin doesn't recover quickly and stays barely above 95k, we might get another dump soon.
BTC-2,08%
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$BTC
Decision time
Bitcoin broke above this major resistance around 94.5k
This can either be a fakeout. OR a real breakout. This area we're in now, just above 94.5k is where everything can be decided.
In March 2022 this situation led to a fakeout. In July 2025 we had a breakout.
2 SCENARIOS:
-Either we have a bullish continuation and get above 98 000$ before January 20th. It can range but the sooner we pump, the more strength we have. After that, we can have a large impulsive move up to 105 000$.
-Either price keeps ranging just above 95 000$. If this lasts for days, it is a sign of weakne
Decision time
Bitcoin broke above this major resistance around 94.5k
This can either be a fakeout. OR a real breakout. This area we're in now, just above 94.5k is where everything can be decided.
In March 2022 this situation led to a fakeout. In July 2025 we had a breakout.
2 SCENARIOS:
-Either we have a bullish continuation and get above 98 000$ before January 20th. It can range but the sooner we pump, the more strength we have. After that, we can have a large impulsive move up to 105 000$.
-Either price keeps ranging just above 95 000$. If this lasts for days, it is a sign of weakne
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$BTC
The bullish scenario is playing out.
We directly broke 94000$ without any rejection so far
Now I believe price is more likely to stabilize in the short term, before going higher and pumping past 98 000$
If 95k holds, this means sellers can't push the price back down and that buyers are in control.
Lots of short liquidations incoming above 96k
The bullish scenario is playing out.
We directly broke 94000$ without any rejection so far
Now I believe price is more likely to stabilize in the short term, before going higher and pumping past 98 000$
If 95k holds, this means sellers can't push the price back down and that buyers are in control.
Lots of short liquidations incoming above 96k
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🟩🟩 XMR LIMIT LONG TRADE 🟩🟩
$XMR is currently in its own bullrun since a few days.
The trend remains strong and could end up giving us a god candle to a new ATH.
I'm following the trend and starting a long at 697$
ENTRY: 697.5
STOP-LOSS: 663.4
TAKE PROFITS: 793.4
Leverage: 18X
$XMR is currently in its own bullrun since a few days.
The trend remains strong and could end up giving us a god candle to a new ATH.
I'm following the trend and starting a long at 697$
ENTRY: 697.5
STOP-LOSS: 663.4
TAKE PROFITS: 793.4
Leverage: 18X
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$BTC
Price broke out of this 94 500$ level
Caught me off guard as I didn't expect this to go that fast. The most bullish scenario played out.
If we manage to get a 12 hour close above 95 000$, this will act as a confirmation for a recovery towards the symbolic 100 000$
Don't get your hopes up too fast, the market can still do fakeouts.
Though I still believe Q1 2026 is more likely to be bullish, considering the downtrend we had in Q4 2025.
Price broke out of this 94 500$ level
Caught me off guard as I didn't expect this to go that fast. The most bullish scenario played out.
If we manage to get a 12 hour close above 95 000$, this will act as a confirmation for a recovery towards the symbolic 100 000$
Don't get your hopes up too fast, the market can still do fakeouts.
Though I still believe Q1 2026 is more likely to be bullish, considering the downtrend we had in Q4 2025.
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$BTC
Technically we're still in a range, with higher lows and higher highs.
It's just obvious that the best way to trade this is shorting the top and longing the bottom of the range.
Price can still break out and retest 94k. However, it's useless to FOMO now, better long at the bottom of the range.
In this situation the best case is to assume price will respect our key levels.
This is now a good spot for shorts.
Technically we're still in a range, with higher lows and higher highs.
It's just obvious that the best way to trade this is shorting the top and longing the bottom of the range.
Price can still break out and retest 94k. However, it's useless to FOMO now, better long at the bottom of the range.
In this situation the best case is to assume price will respect our key levels.
This is now a good spot for shorts.
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VLSOKOLOV:
Bull run 🐂:$BTC daily chart
The next resistance is 94 000$
A BULLISH SCENARIO: If a strong impulsive move pushes us there in the coming days, this level will become weaker and more likely to break.
That's because of the higher highs and constant retests of 94 000$
There are still many paths for a bullish month (including a dump to 89k then recovery).
Everything will also depend on how the current lower timeframe range plays out. Nothing is certain at mid-range.
The next resistance is 94 000$
A BULLISH SCENARIO: If a strong impulsive move pushes us there in the coming days, this level will become weaker and more likely to break.
That's because of the higher highs and constant retests of 94 000$
There are still many paths for a bullish month (including a dump to 89k then recovery).
Everything will also depend on how the current lower timeframe range plays out. Nothing is certain at mid-range.
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$ETH
On the daily chart, Ethereum is recovering nicely.
There is also a key level at 2800$ on the weekly chart that has been holding real well so far.
If you look at the historical daily chart on $ETH, when price ranged after a sharp dump, it almost always led to a pump
So my take on $ETH is that it's rather bullish in the short to mid-term.
Of course it will also depend on Bitcoin, but things are looking allright for this Q1.
On the daily chart, Ethereum is recovering nicely.
There is also a key level at 2800$ on the weekly chart that has been holding real well so far.
If you look at the historical daily chart on $ETH, when price ranged after a sharp dump, it almost always led to a pump
So my take on $ETH is that it's rather bullish in the short to mid-term.
Of course it will also depend on Bitcoin, but things are looking allright for this Q1.
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$BTC
It's Sunday, price hasn't moved much over the weekend.
I believe the diamond pattern that formed is still valid. Price remains in accumulation phase before the next move.
And Bitcoin is still more likely to pump past 92k, so I wouldn't mind the fakeouts and small moves.
Altcoins are also mostly bottoming out, flat-line on most, could be getting ready for another impulsive move.
I won't trade this lower time-frame pattern but it looks good for bulls IMO.
It's Sunday, price hasn't moved much over the weekend.
I believe the diamond pattern that formed is still valid. Price remains in accumulation phase before the next move.
And Bitcoin is still more likely to pump past 92k, so I wouldn't mind the fakeouts and small moves.
Altcoins are also mostly bottoming out, flat-line on most, could be getting ready for another impulsive move.
I won't trade this lower time-frame pattern but it looks good for bulls IMO.
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$BTC
It's Sunday, price hasn't moved much over the weekend.
I believe the diamond pattern that formed is still valid. Price remains in accumulation phase before the next move.
And Bitcoin is still more likely to pump past 92k, so I wouldn't mind the fakeouts and small moves.
Altcoins are also mostly bottoming out, flat-line on most, could be getting ready for another impulsive move.
I won't trade this lower time-frame pattern but it looks good for bulls IMO.
It's Sunday, price hasn't moved much over the weekend.
I believe the diamond pattern that formed is still valid. Price remains in accumulation phase before the next move.
And Bitcoin is still more likely to pump past 92k, so I wouldn't mind the fakeouts and small moves.
Altcoins are also mostly bottoming out, flat-line on most, could be getting ready for another impulsive move.
I won't trade this lower time-frame pattern but it looks good for bulls IMO.
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$BTC
4-hour chart
Bitcoin is now forming an interesting diamond pattern on the 4-hour chart.
Usually, this is more of a trend reversal signal, so $BTC is now more likely to pump a little.
Potentially retesting the upper resistance at 94 000$
I'm not starting a trade right now, because this isn't my preferred set-up.
I prefer to wait until we hit the lows or highs again on the daily chart (88k-94k)
4-hour chart
Bitcoin is now forming an interesting diamond pattern on the 4-hour chart.
Usually, this is more of a trend reversal signal, so $BTC is now more likely to pump a little.
Potentially retesting the upper resistance at 94 000$
I'm not starting a trade right now, because this isn't my preferred set-up.
I prefer to wait until we hit the lows or highs again on the daily chart (88k-94k)
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$ZEC daily chart
Everyone panicked as the team resigned, giving us a 20% discount.
However, Zcash is still trading above 400$ 1 day after it happened
370$ is the nearest support level
300$ is the KEY level, retested multiple times since October on the daily chart, but remains far lower.
$ZEC remains decorrelated from Bitcoin and alts so we're still waiting for confirmation as to where this is heading in the mid-term.
Everyone panicked as the team resigned, giving us a 20% discount.
However, Zcash is still trading above 400$ 1 day after it happened
370$ is the nearest support level
300$ is the KEY level, retested multiple times since October on the daily chart, but remains far lower.
$ZEC remains decorrelated from Bitcoin and alts so we're still waiting for confirmation as to where this is heading in the mid-term.
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$BTC
BULLISH SCENARIO
This resistance level at 94 000$ can't seem to reject us below 89 000$. It is not very strong.
We haven't had strong bearish candles rejecting price quickly, as it did at the beginning of December.
IF price tries to retest that 94k level immediately, I expect $BTC to still have a small rejection up to 92k before it starts breaking.
Besides that, my plans haven't changed and 88 500$ remains my preferred area for longs.
BULLISH SCENARIO
This resistance level at 94 000$ can't seem to reject us below 89 000$. It is not very strong.
We haven't had strong bearish candles rejecting price quickly, as it did at the beginning of December.
IF price tries to retest that 94k level immediately, I expect $BTC to still have a small rejection up to 92k before it starts breaking.
Besides that, my plans haven't changed and 88 500$ remains my preferred area for longs.
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