RawlalGaib

small theory I had which I think I've discussed before but can't find to retweet, is about this wallet on hyperliquid, it opened a short position shortly after Trump took office early last year, and it's still running to this day, the only reason I follow it is that this short position was worth more than $50 million and tt wasn't even closed when ETH hit a new all time high last summer, which to me means that this is likely an insider wallet that knew the price would drop again.
Since December the margin of the position has been decreasing because they are closing parts of the short nearly ev

SMCI will soon offer one of the best entries you can get on this asset around 12–9, obviously they are now pushing this FUD narrative to drive the price lower so market makers can load as much as they can before demand skyrockets again going even past the previous ATH

for some reason I’ve seen plenty of Bitcoin pattern charts recently highlighting the same bear flag we had from December to January, but what they don’t realize is that liquidity doesn’t always need to be taken out if there are enough short positions with liquidity to the upside, and looking at the funding rate we’re kind of flipping so this wedge pattern can easily break to the upside humbling all the clankers by pushing straight up to January levels

Another Thursday in the markets another sell off right after FOMC, but I wouldn’t be too scared because we already knew this will happen, with the SPX making new lower lows and lower highs until the market finds another break of structure, so stocks were a no touch for me and they still are.
On crypto ETH reached 2,400 one of my LTF targets from which we saw a correction back to around 2,100 the level we initially broke out from, bitcoin is slightly weaker than ETH i feel like, and as long as we are under 70,500–70,800 sellers are in control and we can revisit lower levels, especially given th

A small observation about the Fed cuts and CPI: inflation data came in lower after the bear market in 2022 followed by a bull market that is still ongoing today, after inflation dropped sharply again the Fed started cutting rates for the first time around August 2024 through December 2024, since then the trend in inflation has continued to move lower printing lower lows and lower highs.
A new low was reached in April when Trump pushed the tariffs narrative, which I believe was intended to create market panic and delay Fed decisions & stimulate consumers. At each FOMC conference the Fed kept re

Let’s play a game called “Spotting the Intruder”, the FED independence vs Trump manipulation techniques.
Starting from the beginning, we had the Fed cutting rates in August 2024 for the first time while the market was printing a small local bottom and with cheaper money available for the first time, liquidity started flowing into the market pushing it further up.
Then in December 2024 the Fed decided to pause the rate cuts keeping them neutral, and shortly after market formed what you could call a distribution phase or a local top.
Seeing that the Fed didn’t want to continue cutting rates, Tru

Wondering what’s going to happen with Trump Coin if he’s going to fold soon, and the price is kinda telling us this story ahead of time, price lower RSI higher, something is being cooked underneath. If this garbage reclaims 3.5–3.8 the market will be ready to see at least a minimum rally for the next 2–3 months

Is nobody actually seeing that crypto is already far ahead of the risk curve? While the SPX formed this Wyckoff distribution into a final move at the BOS, at the same time Bitcoin made its low in early February, and ince then even with the conflict ongoing the most impacted market has been the stock market, while Bitcoin — together with crypto as a whole has been in an accumulation phase.
Price is telling you this, Bitcoin is holding higher lows while the SPX keeps making lower lows, to me this personally looks like one of the best and strongest reversals we could see from crypto once risk-on

you know something is about to go down when it looks like this