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Bitcoin has been around for 17 years. From the geek experiments in 2009 to today's status as the world's largest crypto asset, this journey alone is worth reflecting on.
Recently, on-chain data has become quite interesting. Trading volume and coin concentration are quietly changing—whales seem to be accumulating, exchange outflows are continuously increasing, and the market is in a delicate balance. What do these signals usually indicate? They could mean institutions are positioning, or market expectations are adjusting.
Speaking of Bitcoin's influence, its market cap share has fallen from ove
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StableGeniusDegenvip:
I think there's been some overinterpretation about whales hoarding. On-chain data looks good, but the real factor that determines the price is still the policy decision.

Wait, is the current 35% share really true? It doesn't seem that low.

Institutional positioning? I more believe they're just harvesting retail investors lol.

The more I hear about historical compound interest stories, the more uneasy I feel. It's better to just focus on protecting your own positions.
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Ethereum, after encountering resistance at $3,143, has now retreated to the key support level of $3,049. If this price level is broken, the market generally expects the next target to be in the $2,928 range.
From a technical perspective, support levels like this are important because they often gather a large number of stop-loss orders and buy expectations. When the price approaches a breakdown point, traders face a dilemma—whether to hold their positions or exit early. Historical data shows that once a support level is broken, it often triggers a chain reaction of stop-loss orders, leading to
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RugpullSurvivorvip:
It's okay if 3049 can't be broken; if it does, I really should run.

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Back to support level analysis—can it hold this time... feels uncertain.

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Wait, is the chain stop-loss theory reliable? Feels like they say the same every time.

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V-shaped reversal? Ha, I'm more afraid of a W-shape or a straight plunge.

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So, it still depends on macro factors. Looking at only candlestick charts is too naive.

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If 3049 is broken, I'll go all in with my eyes closed; I'm already numb anyway.

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Bull-bear confrontation, in simple terms, is just retail traders stabbing each other.

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If technical analysis fails, what's the use of it then?

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Are holders anxious? I'm that anxious fool.

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Fake breakdown or real reversal, in the end, it's all gambling mentality.
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Bitcoin recently released several positive signals. Although there were some bearish candles on the 4-hour chart, the subsequent performance has been quite good—price has shown a steady ladder-like upward pattern, indicating that the bulls are gradually pushing higher.
Interestingly, Bitcoin continues to trade near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which suggests that the overall market momentum remains positive, and the bulls still have the strength to push upward. While there are some technical selling pressures above, limiting short-term gains, the price has demonstrated good resilienc
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WalletsWatchervip:
The upper Bollinger Band holds steady, are the bulls still accumulating? The rhythm is indeed comfortable.

A stepwise rise is stable, the buying strength on dips is quite solid, in the short term, it still depends on whether the support can hold.

Wait a moment, during such times, there is usually a small pullback, don't be fooled.

Waiting for the next breakout, Ethereum is pretty much following this pattern.

To put it simply, it's a bullish oscillation, that's all. Don't overthink it.

With such strong anti-drop ability, it indicates that the bottom consensus is still good. Keep watching.
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The crypto market is coming in fiercely, and the speed of making money is terrifying, but the speed of losing money is often even faster. I have personally experienced this loss.
In the early days, I played with high leverage in the futures market, and it was completely reckless. Full position, full position, and still full position. And the result? Several liquidation events left my principal nearly wiped out, a feeling I still remember vividly. Despair, helplessness, and even a bit of depression.
But I didn't give up. I gritted my teeth and started over with the remaining 1000U. Now, my acco
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ReverseFOMOguyvip:
Deeply experienced, the full position strategy is truly a death sentence.

Sounds like a replica of what I went through last year, almost losing everything.

Rule five is the most crucial; I am currently surviving with a light position.

The point about stop-losses is well said; it's really hard to execute them effectively.

And here they are again teaching us how to survive, haha.

Turning 1000U into 260,000U with compound interest is indeed ruthless.

The rule of stopping losses and then closing the software—I'll stick that on the wall.

I didn't expect the first lesson the crypto world teaches people to be how to survive.
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In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the entire network reached $235 million. Among them, long positions were forcibly liquidated for $62.3351 million, and short positions were crushed for $172 million — the scale of short liquidations directly overshadowed the longs.
This contrast is quite interesting. The market was originally dominated by short positions, yet at a critical moment, it experienced a large-scale forced liquidation, meaning the price surged against the short traders' expectations, possibly due to short covering pushing the price higher. Currently, the bulli
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LidoStakeAddictvip:
The shorts are crushed to pieces, 172 million just gone, feels good.

The longs indeed got greedy this time. Be careful of catching the falling knife at high levels.
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Honestly, many newcomers to the crypto world stumble because of one main reason—being too impatient.
They know nothing and jump in dreaming of making big gains, failing even at the simplest principle of "not losing while alive." #美联储FOMC会议 's surge, $PEPE 's rebound... watching others make profits, they just can't sit still.
My advice is: start with a small account. 200 or 300 dollars is enough.
This capital isn't for making money. Really. Its purpose is to train your execution and mindset. Write down your plan and follow it—don't change your mind on the spot, and don't go all-in. Can you hand
PEPE2,32%
UNI-2,34%
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OnchainFortuneTellervip:
That's right, mindset is really more valuable than anything else. I've seen too many impatient guys who think they're trading geniuses after making a little money in a month.

When they win, they think they're chosen by heaven; when they lose, they blame the unfair market. That's hilarious, just go buy a lottery if that's your attitude.

Practicing with this set of small trades is indeed effective; even with just a couple of hundred yuan, you can learn something.
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Recently, I saw an investor sharing that their ETH holdings have finally broken even. When they talk about their investment experiences over the years, it’s quite interesting.
The core logic is simple: follow the trend. When bullish, increase your position; when bearish, reduce your holdings. Don’t try to precisely hit the lowest or highest points—that’s simply unrealistic. Everyone in the market knows that the best opportunity to buy is when others are selling in panic; the game of greed and fear is always ongoing.
He admits that no one can predict the market with perfect accuracy. Instead of
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not_your_keysvip:
That's right, but the key is whether you can endure. I've seen too many people understand this principle, yet still fail due to their mindset.
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Recently, I saw a bunch of short-term Ethereum traders lamenting in the community, saying things like "losing two months' salary in a day."
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SigmaValidatorvip:
Losing two months' salary? Bro, are you addicted to leverage trading? Short-term trading should be prepared for stop-loss.
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【Weekend Market Overview】
This weekend's market has been quite "exciting." BTC is still hovering around 91,000, but stories in the crypto world are unfolding.
The bears are experts at creating topics. Yesterday, a screenshot caused a stir in the community—someone claimed to have seen in Ripple's official wallet transfer note that "80 billion USD has been sold off in 2025." XRP then plummeted, and retail investors rushed to cut losses. Meanwhile, a major crypto project related to Trump also experienced a sharp decline, prompting discussions about possible "exit scams." On the other side, LUNA h
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TRUMP6,26%
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PessimisticOraclevip:
Another round of rookie investors getting slaughtered, same old tricks every time.

I just want to ask, if the 8 billion rumor is really going to crash the market, why did it only drop 5%? Logically, that doesn't make sense.

Are institutions absorbing? Ha, it looks more like they're waiting for a further decline.

It's good to talk about verifying data, but most people are too lazy to check and just like to be scared into selling.

BTC hovers around 91,000, it feels like the support level hasn't been found yet, Monday will be the real test.
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I have a friend who initially invested only 1,500 yuan of spare money to trade contracts, and unexpectedly, his account skyrocketed to 40,000 in just two days. During that time, he became extremely inflated, constantly praising himself—"Born with a talent for trading cryptocurrencies."
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GhostAddressMinervip:
Two days to multiply by 26? Check his wallet address. I bet five bucks this is just false prosperity before a leveraged liquidation.
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#2026年比特币行情展望 Market Rotation Truth: Why Did the MEME Ecosystem Suddenly Explode?
Looking at recent market trends, there's a particularly interesting phenomenon—during times when the main market is under pressure and major cryptocurrencies are fluctuating, animal-themed coins are instead taking turns to strengthen. The logic behind this is worth discussing.
**Capital Flows Have Changed**
When liquidity is tight, the market tends to seek the least resistance and the most promising opportunities. Why can MEME coins like PEPE suddenly attract attention? Simply put: they have already undergone suf
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Many people look at the 5,000 RMB in their account (about $700) and think that in the crypto world, they can't make waves; at best, it's just "filling the numbers." But in reality, if you use the right approach, this $700 can evolve into 7 real opportunities to turn things around.
The core logic is actually straightforward—**small positions gradually rolling, profit reinvestment**. Divide the $700 into 7 parts, each $100 as an independent unit. Each time, only use 1 part with 3x leverage as the base position, rather than going all-in at once. Taking LIGHT as an example, using $100 with 3x leve
LIGHT-15,95%
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bridge_anxietyvip:
Dividing 700U into 7 parts is a decent idea, but it's too idealistic. What will you do if the market drops by the limit in one wave?
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From the monthly chart of Bitcoin, this rebound rally may have already reached its end. The trend on the monthly chart appears somewhat weak, indicating a possible transition into a longer-term correction phase.
Based on the current pattern, it will take approximately 4 to 6 months from now to complete the entire move. Specifically, January and February may continue to see a rebound trend, followed by a clear downtrend in the next three months, and then about three months to complete the formation of the bottom area.
During this process, there are basically no opportunities to participate in t
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gas_fee_therapistvip:
Hmm... 4 to 6 months to bottom? Looks like they're trying to catch the bottom.

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When the monthly chart weakens, they start telling stories. I've heard this routine too many times.

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Wait, are you saying it will drop for three months straight after February? I don't feel that pessimistic.

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There is room for a wave in the bottoming phase, but can we really catch the bottom? That's the real test.

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Technical analysis can never keep up with black swan events; it's better to keep some positions just in case.

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I believe in the tail end of the rebound, but this schedule... is a bit too precise.

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Avoiding risks is the most important thing, more than anything else. I've already reduced my holdings.

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Six months is so long; who knows what opportunities might arise in between.
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Holding just a few thousand yuan, the easiest mistake to make is greed. The crypto world is filled with stories of overnight riches, but in reality, most retail investors end up being slapped in the face by the market. Over more than ten years of trading experience, I’ve come to understand one principle: long-term profitability depends not on luck, nor on inside information, but on execution.
I’ve seen many people use "clumsy methods" to gradually grow their five-figure capital into seven figures. They don’t have any special talent; they simply stick firmly to these four ironclad rules.
**Rule
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DegenWhisperervip:
That's quite true; execution is really the hardest part.
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Looking at the trends in the crypto market over the past couple of years, the momentum of traditional capital entering the space has indeed been fierce—institutional giants like BlackRock and Fidelity are pouring money in one after another, and the scale is truly astonishing.
Whether the four-year cycle of Bitcoin still holds is a topic of ongoing debate, and opinions are divided on whether to continue believing in the halving myth. But behind these discussions, there is a more tangible issue worth noting: the liquidity performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum has clearly set them apart from other
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RugDocScientistvip:
Institutions really treat the crypto space as an ATM, and BlackRock and Fidelity's recent moves are truly ruthless.

It's clear that mainstream coins are just mainstream coins; liquidity is the real key indicator.

Small-cap coins are still gambling, but we've already followed the big players.

Bitcoin and Ethereum are indeed stable, let's forget about the others.

Honestly, it's still about sticking together for warmth; assets with good liquidity are the real gold and silver.

Ultimately, institutional money still flows to the safest places, and this logic is correct.

The market prediction is a trading volume of 1.5 billion , but in the end, it's still BTC and ETH holding the scene, haha.

People still playing altcoins in 2026 are really quite persistent.
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What will the crypto market look like in 2026? Many people are already looking for the next opportunity on the BNB Chain.
Recently, the Jager project has attracted a lot of attention. As one of the meme coins on the BNB Chain, it stands out among many similar projects with its unique community atmosphere and creative design. Based on community activity and market response, these innovative projects are indeed worth paying attention to.
Of course, all investments carry risks. For interested users, it is essential to understand the project's fundamentals, team background, and community ecosystem
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CounterIndicatorvip:
Jager is another meme coin. I've seen too many projects like this, and quite a few have failed.

Projects that gain popularity on the BNB chain are mostly driven by community hype, and later are often taken over by retail investors...

2026 is still early, it's a bit too hasty to start looking for opportunities now.

To be honest, doing research is correct, but most people won't actually check the team background—they just buy in when they see the price going up.
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A few days ago, I dreamt that Ethereum skyrocketed to 15,000, and in the dream, several villas I bought were right by the sea. Upon waking up, I realized that in dreams, anything is possible. But in reality? The market is full of long traders working like laborers, with all kinds of stop-losses triggered and liquidations happening. After calculating, I think it's better to stop daydreaming. Can this wave push Ethereum to that height? Who can say for sure? Many experienced traders are trading while regretting, buying the dip while cutting losses, feeling like the entire market is constantly tos
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CommunityLurkervip:
Dream villas by the sea, while in reality, cutting flesh until your hands are sore—this is the true portrayal of crypto.
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"Three days of losses equal half a month's salary. Is this a fake market?" Many newbies complain like this, and I see myself in them from eight years ago.
That year, I threw in 20,000 yuan, chasing gains and cutting losses was routine, hot coins I would go all-in at once, leverage and follow the trend. The worst moment was when my account only had 8,000 yuan left, almost smashing my phone and quitting for good.
After lying low for three days, I realized one thing: in this market, "not dying" is a hundred times more valuable than "getting rich overnight."
Later, with three bottom lines, I didn'
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PonziDetectorvip:
Wow, that 8000 yuan part really broke me. It felt like I was looking at my own dark history.

Really, stop-loss is easy to say but incredibly hard to do. How many times have I thought, "Just wait a bit, it'll recover," only to get wiped out immediately.
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#Strategy加码BTC配置 After a careful calculation, I still need to continue adding to BTC at this position. From both technical and fundamental perspectives, the medium-term upward logic of Bitcoin has not been broken, and instead, it continues to establish a bottom supported by the dual attributes of commodities and safe-haven assets. Rather than getting caught up in short-term fluctuations here, it's better to increase holdings in batches and let time prove its worth.
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GasFeeCryvip:
Adding to your position again? I see you're really not afraid of a dip.

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Dipping in batches sounds good, but I just don't know where the bottom is.

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If this wave can still fall further, those who add to their positions will be crying their eyes out.

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Technical analysis and fundamentals, they sound so nice, but I’m too lazy to bother calculating.

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Let time verify? Our funds can't wait that long.

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Dual attributes? I only see my funds losing their attributes.

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Commodities as safe-haven assets, brother, I've heard this spiel a hundred times.

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Keep adding, anyway, if it turns into a loss, we'll face it together.
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This weekend's market movement saw Ethereum surge directly to the 3080 level. To be honest, watching the candlestick jump so wildly, my wallet is a bit overwhelmed.
This wave of rally was indeed somewhat unexpected. I was just debating whether to continue holding, and suddenly I was pulled to this price level. But on the other hand, the number 3080 doesn't seem too exaggerated, but actually spending money on it is another story.
Weekend market trends are always the biggest test of patience; one misstep can lead to chasing highs or selling lows. What do you all think about this wave? Is it a go
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MEVSandwichvip:
Dare to chase 3080? I plan to just relax this weekend. I won't move even if I see it rising; mindset is the most important.
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