Last_Satoshi

#USIranNuclearTalksTurmoil
✨Current situation
Nuclear negotiations between the US and Iran, following weeks of tension and fears of war, concluded today in an indirect format in Muscat, the capital of Oman. The talks ended with both sides demonstrating a "will to continue," but deep disagreements and mistrust remain on the table.
Today's Developments (February 6, 2026)
The talks are over: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi described the negotiations as "a very good start" and said "an understanding was reached that the talks will continue." However, it was stated that there would be no immediate new round, but rather progress following consultations in the capitals.
Format and participants: The talks were held indirectly (US and Iranian representatives did not meet directly face-to-face; communication was facilitated through Oman). On the US side, Middle East special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner participated. CENTCOM commander noted: The presence of the US Central Command (CENTCOM) commander at the talks was interpreted as a strong signal that Washington is still keeping the military option on the table. Iran's red lines are clear: Tehran reiterated that it will not discuss any issues other than its nuclear program (ballistic missiles, regional proxy forces). It categorically refused to completely halt uranium enrichment or send its stockpiles abroad.
US demands are broad: The Trump administration wants to put not only the nuclear program but also the ballistic missile program and support for proxy groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas on the table. The goal of "zero nuclear capacity" remains the official stance.
General Situation and Atmosphere
The talks come after the US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in recent months, the crackdown protests in Tehran, and the deployment of US naval forces to the Gulf. Both sides sent the message of "keeping the diplomatic path open," but mistrust remains very high. Iran is demanding "negotiations without threats and pressure," while the Trump administration is seeking a quick and comprehensive agreement. It is reported that regional countries (particularly Arab leaders) lobbied the White House not to cancel the talks, and this pressure has enabled the negotiations to take place.

Jeffrey Epstein's former partner, Ghislaine Maxwell, will testify before the U.S. Congress on Monday, February 9, 2026. Claims that Maxwell will "reveal the criminal secrets of U.S. leaders" are currently speculation and rumors circulating on social media. There is no official indication that Maxwell will reveal any new or striking names. Maxwell's testimony will be held behind closed doors and will not be broadcast live to the public.

#BitwiseFilesforUNISpotETF
Following the success of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, the crypto markets are now bracing for a major move involving the flagship of decentralized finance (DeFi). This latest step by Bitwise Asset Management is considered a critical turning point in the institutional adoption of digital assets.
The Institutional Gateway to DeFi: Uniswap Spot ETF
In February 2026, Bitwise formalized its intention to launch a spot exchange-traded fund for Uniswap (UNI) by filing an S-1 registration statement with the SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission). This move marks the first time an on-chain governance token has been submitted for such comprehensive regulatory approval. Instead of dealing with crypto wallets or complex decentralized protocols, investors will gain the opportunity to invest in the world’s largest decentralized exchange (DEX) through a standard brokerage account.
Technical Infrastructure and Security
According to details in the filing, Bitwise has selected Coinbase Custody as the storage partner for the Uniswap ETF. This collaboration aims to provide institutional-grade security and transparency while ensuring the ETF structure directly tracks the spot price movements of the UNI token. Although it is stated that the tokens will not be used for staking in the initial phase, the possibility of adding such yield-generating models in the future remains open.
Why is the Market Excited?
Liquidity Access: A path is being cleared for billions of dollars in new capital to flow from traditional banking and financial systems into the DeFi ecosystem.
Regulatory Clarity: The fact that the SEC has concluded certain previous inquiries regarding Uniswap provides a more stable ground for this application.
The DeFi Blue-Chip Era: Now, it is not just "currency-like" assets but functional protocols that are becoming a part of traditional finance.
Future Expectations
Market analysts view Bitwise’s initiative as proof that institutional interest will not remain limited to Bitcoin alone. Despite periodic stagnations in the altcoin market, filing such an application is part of a long-term vision. If the Uniswap ETF is approved, other DeFi giants like Aave or Chainlink are expected to follow similar paths, further solidifying the legitimacy of cryptocurrencies as investment assets.
This innovative step by traditional finance is poised to bridge the transparent world of blockchain technology with the massive trading volumes of Wall Street.

#CryptoSurvivalGuide
#CryptoSurvivalGuide
Building a Financial Fortress: Deepening Risk Control
Severe market fluctuations (volatility) represent chaos for the unprepared investor, yet for the disciplined one, they are merely a "data set." In the tense atmosphere of February 2026, it is vital to activate these three core mechanisms to protect your portfolio:
1. Asymmetric Risk and Loss Management
A common mistake made by market analysts is focusing solely on profit targets. Professionals, however, prioritize calculating the "risk/reward ratio."
The Psychology of Stop-Loss: When determining your stop-loss levels, do not pick a spot based on where you think "the price won't drop below." Instead, pick the point where your "thesis becomes invalid."
Liquidity Traps: Levels just below critical thresholds like $58,500 are often "liquidity hunt" zones where major players (whales) clear out the positions of retail investors. Therefore, you should place your stop-loss slightly below these technical supports, leaving a "safety gap" for the volatility to breathe.
2. Capital Efficiency and "Ammo" Management
The 30-40% cash (stablecoin) balance mentioned is not just a defensive strategy; it is your most powerful offensive weapon.
Opportunity Cost: If you are "all-in" with your entire capital, you become a mere spectator when the market hits a true bottom. A cash position allows you to accumulate "game-changing" assets at a discount once the market stabilizes.
Liquidation of Leveraged Positions: In periods of rising bond yields, funding costs increase, and the market often throws sudden "wicks" to flush out high-leverage positions. In this environment, even 2x-3x leverage can be classified as "high risk." Staying in the spot market whenever possible is the ultimate form of risk control.
3. Macroeconomic Filtering
A "hawkish" Fed stance implies that the total money supply (M2) in the system is either shrinking or becoming more expensive.
The Bond and Dollar Effect: When U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rise, investors flee risky assets (cryptocurrencies) in favor of guaranteed returns. This creates a "gravitational pull" effect on Bitcoin.
Strategic Patience: Risk control sometimes means doing absolutely nothing. Waiting on the sidelines until the market determines a clear direction—such as a high-volume break above the $61,200 resistance—is a far more profitable action than leaving your capital at the mercy of market whims.
Remember: Being "right" in the market provides an ego boost, but "managing risk" builds wealth. To recover a 10% loss today, you need a gain of over 11%; however, if your loss reaches 50%, you need a 100% gain just to break even. Mathematics is always on the side of the risk-averse.
#BTC

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