Jamesvanst

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So private credit is being zeroed out at BlackRock and redemptions are being stopped.
Gold is being offered at a discount to spot in Dubai.
If only there was a fully liquid, sell at spot price, 24/7 alternative.
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The UK 3-month gilt yield is pricing in a rate hike
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What’s $1B per day between friends?
The West is bankrupt = Tax increases, energy costs up, more currency debasement.
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So STRC has an estimated purchase of 3,276 BTC this week (3,150 BTC is the weekly mined supply).
Saylor raised $225M on an 11.5% dividend, with an annual cost of obligation of $26M.
MSTR can run this for 30 months without needing to increase the USD reserve.
GTFOOH 📱
BTC-3,64%
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Just to put into perspective how low the floating supply is between $70,000 and $80,000
Saylor has only ever bought twice in this range.
Churn here is needed
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Market should probably start to price in rate hikes if oil stays above $80 with a re-accelerating US economy
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Market should probably start to price in rate hikes
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Bitcoin is starting to decouple from software. Uncorrelated asset to anything is the goal.
Software doomers in shambles, already 15% off the lows.
BTC-3,64%
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Once the short-term quantum solution with BIP360 reaches consensus.
The next debate will be around Bitcoin's fungibility and privacy.
Which just means Bitcoin is reaching the next level of its adoption curve.
BTC-3,64%
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A bottoming process for BTC is starting to form via IV.
Previous market lows have coincided with spikes in IV, and the broader structure shows IV trending lower over time, meaning each panic event is weaker. (More institutional).
If IV continues to drop while price holds or even sweeps back in the $60ks, it would show demand stepping in without panic.
It would be a typical sign of accumulation and we have already seen signs of s short squeeze with funding still negative.
BTC-3,64%
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Bitcoin bottomed on the same day as MSTR's Q4 earnings call.
The market was pricing in bankruptcy on $8B in unrealised losses.
BTC-3,64%
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Remember this chart?
Just to fill in the blank:
60 days after the Yen carry unwind
BTC 21%
Gold: 9%
SPX: 3%
Bitcoin outperforming again on this geopolitical event
BTC-3,64%
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MSTR's 200-week moving average is at $148.
The stock is set to open at $142.
It tested the 200WMA three times in 2022 over a 5-month period before decisively breaking through it.
I think a similar pattern will play out, could be shorter.
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Pre-Market:
Q: -0.07%
IBIT: 4.96%
The levered Q narrative is utter nonsense
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Major index performance since futures opened on Sunday.
Getting flashbacks of bitcoin’s strength on Liberation Day last year.
BTC-3,64%
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Blockwisevip:
useful information
I thought these were safe havens?
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Oil is down since Iran "officially closed the Strait of Hormouz" and got rejected below the 200WMA
Bitcoin search trend in Iran sky rocketed over the past 48 hours.
BTC-3,64%
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Black Monday will go down in the history books.
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Someone explain to me how the 60/40 portfolio is still relevant
Bonds are down and so are stocks
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I am surprised how well Bitcoin has held up on this war.
It's now higher than Friday's futures market close.
BTC-3,64%
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