The real fear is not Japan's rate hike, but the shrinking of the balance sheet (QT). Although it wasn't mentioned this time, the huge amount of ETFs and government bonds held by the Bank of Japan will eventually be sold to the market. This is the Damocles sword hanging over the head of 2026.
In the coming period, there will be a fake bull rally followed by a sharp decline. Around March next year, we will see the 18K level for the second Bitcoin!

This is a textbook-level "Dovish Hike."
Although the Bank of Japan has taken action to raise interest rates (raising the rate to 0.75%), Kazuo Ueda's comments at the press conference significantly softened, directly alleviating market fears of "aggressive tightening."
Combined with the $ETH $BTC ETH V inverse chart (pulling back from $2,772 to $2,950), the market has already given the most honest verdict: bearish news has been realized, and the liquidity crisis has been resolved.
Below is an in-depth analysis of Kazuo Ueda's speech and the "hawk-dove" score:
1. Regarding future policy path: E

First, some bullish points
SOL buy at 104
ETH buy at 2480
Now, the conclusion, focus on Ethereum:
The night before the BoJ decision: ETH liquidity gap depth projection
Asset: ETH/USD
Current price: \bm{2,827 ( has broken} 2,900 liquidity wall )
Status: Negative Gamma Trap ( Short Gamma ) | Extreme Risk-Off ( Risk-Off )
1. Microstructure diagnosis: Why can't it stop?
The breach of $2,900 is not an ordinary correction but a structural breakdown.
1. Negative Gamma Effect: Market makers sold a large number of puts at $3,000. After falling below $2,900, these options become deeply in-the-money. To

Ethereum Professional Trader: Keep shorting, initial position at 2880, add to position at 2904, leverage within 5x!
$ETH

Ethereum, go long near 2710, it will rebound and short squeeze there.
$ETH

Small-scale trend reversal triggers a rise, then continues downward. Each time this kind of spike appears on the weekly chart, it will at least dip 20%-30%.
The bottom of this round will likely reach around 2450, with resistance at 3650.
Wide-range fluctuations.

Japan raises interest rates, which is a very critical market node. Regarding the news “Bank of Japan (BoJ) to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December, probability 98%,” let’s digest this piece of news:
One sentence conclusion:
This is “bearish” for risk assets (Bitcoin, US stocks), and “bullish” for the Japanese Yen.
Although the act of rate hike itself has been highly priced in by the market (Priced-in), the **“chain reaction” (liquidity shock)** triggered by the rate hike has not been fully digested.
1. In-depth analysis: Bearish or bullish?
For risk assets (cryptocurrencies / US

Ethereum minor level reversal, short squeeze induces a rise, short at 3015$ETH

Brother Ma Ji - Huang Licheng, let's talk about the most outstanding bull in the 2025 crypto circle.
Your addition is the key to the core.
If we only discuss position, leverage, and platform, that's just a "technical failure"; Huang Licheng's real fatal flaw is the systematic loss of emotional control.
1. Conclusion first: he didn't lose because of judgment, but because of emotional structure.
A one-sentence summary of his emotional model:
Use extreme positions to fight emotional fluctuations, cover psychological out-of-control with capital size.
This is the most dangerous type in trading.
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2

Ethereum, go long at 2730, 2460
Add to short positions when it goes up
Safe leverage of 5x$ETH
Next year, you'll see Ethereum starting with 1

It is currently 14:10 Central European Time ( Beijing Time 21:10), less than 20 minutes before the highly anticipated non-farm payroll data release tonight (scheduled at 21:30 Beijing Time).
Due to the US government shutdown/delays in data collection in October, tonight (Tuesday, December 16) is a rare "double release day" in non-farm history (simultaneous release of October and November data).
A simple and direct answer: the data has not been released yet; whether it is bullish or bearish depends on whether the data deviates from the following "script."
1. Market expectations cheat sheet
Befo

Current Price: 2,923.83 (-4.54%)
Volatility: ATR 487 / ATR% 16.67%
Meaning: We are currently in a “high volatility deleveraging period,” where the trend direction must give way to “risk control and triggers.”
Key Price Levels (sorted by importance)
• 2,984–3,020: Short-term central zone (a break below this level makes rebounds easily mistaken for “pullback selling points”)
• 3,063 / 3,154: Upper resistance levels (failure to recover indicates the trend remains bearish)
• 2,743–2,721: Next critical support zone (if broken, the weekly level will enter “deeper re-pricing”)
One sente

The two coins will drop to around 2904 today, then rally to trap and force short covering!
This decline will at least go to 2450.
5x short, hold on, as long as it rises, add more!
Now the negative factors have been preemptively digested, it won't drop again on the 19th, maybe there will be a Christmas and New Year big gift package, ramp up the push!

Next stop for the double bottom is 2900!
If there's a rebound, add to the short position, but do not exceed 5x$ETH

🚨Ethereum is about to close the weekly candle. Let’s talk about the script for next week.
Script A: Hawkish Rate Hike (The most feared version for risk assets)
Conditions
• BOJ raises to 0.75% and emphasizes “inflation/wages and the subsequent rate hike path,” prompting the market to start pricing in a higher terminal rate.
• USD/JPY volatility rises (the key is not just the direction, but the volatility).
Typical ETH reaction
• Initial “liquidity withdrawal” mechanical selling pressure: sell the most liquid assets (ETH falls into this category).
Corresponding market actions
• If the weekly/d

Share this with all traders. Understand it before placing a trade. Hope it can help you!
1. No absolute direction in small timeframes; the market is constantly changing
• The chart changes every minute; so-called "direction" is just the current local state.
• Long and short are not about right or wrong, but a dynamic game.

🔁 Core essence: Trading is not about judging right or wrong, but about identifying capital flow and emotional shifts.

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2. The market maker seeks profit, attacking whichever side has "meat"
• The market maker/large players prioritize attacking stop-loss clusters, foc

Open a small position, give out some benefits, if you're interested, follow along. Steady and conservative profits!