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BTC this morning, it briefly dipped to 65,762, then rebounded above 67,000, forming a classic V-shape. Two weeks ago, it was still standing at 76,000, now down nearly 15%. The reason isn't complicated—repeated fluctuations in rate cut expectations, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and the entire risk asset sector taking a hit, with Bitcoin no exception.
But the 65,000 level is indeed solid. In Q4 last year, many institutions built positions here, with on-chain chips clustered around this area. If you look, every time the price approaches this zone, buy orders appear. This morning is a vivid exampl
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Last night, BTC surged from 65,870 all the way up to 67,260, gaining over two percent, and now it's stuck around 66,300 without much movement. Honestly, this position is quite awkward—there's still some distance to the high point from last night on the upside, and not far from the support level at 66,000 on the downside. If you're planning to go long, don't chase now; wait for a pullback to the 66,000-66,100 range before entering. Set your stop loss at 65,800, with the first target at 66,900 and the second at 67,200. The market over the weekend is usually quiet, with trading volume shrinking,
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Trump's 5-day deadline is more than halfway through, but U.S.-Iran situation remains shrouded in mystery. The U.S. had Pakistan deliver a 15-point proposal to Iran, and Iran flat-out rejected it, calling it "psychological warfare." The White House insists talks are still ongoing, and the Strait of Hormuz situation just spiked in tension.
March's crypto market movement is quite interesting: when Trump softened his tone, BTC rallied 3% and broke through 73,000; when threats of military action came, BTC plunged below 68,000, market panic was extreme, and the fear gauge dropped straight to "extrem
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Bitcoin breaks through $71,000, signaling trend strengthening. From a technical structure perspective, $71,000 is at the edge of a historically congested trading zone; after the breakout, selling pressure above is limited. On-chain data shows that long-term holder chips remain stable, with continuous net outflows from exchanges, indicating the market is still in the mid-to-late stage of bull market continuation. At the macro level, expectations for monetary policy shifts are strengthening, and Bitcoin's dual properties as both a risk asset and safe-haven asset are being repriced. Operationally
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Bitcoin breaks through $71,000: Is the trend strengthening or is it the end of the cycle?
Bitcoin breaks through $71,000, demonstrating a trend-strengthening signal. From a technical structure perspective, $71,000 represents the edge of a historically dense transaction zone at the high position. After the breakout, selling pressure above is limited; on-chain data shows long-term holders' positions are stable, with continuous net outflows from exchanges, indicating the market remains in the mid-to-late stage of a bull market continuation; at the macro level, expectations of a monetary policy shift are intensifying, and Bitcoin's dual properties as both a risk asset and safe-haven asset are being repriced. From an operational standpoint, there are three approaches: trend followers can enter on pullbacks to 68,000-70,000; swing traders should monitor derivative indicators such as funding rates and open interest to prevent overheating; long-term investors should consider dollar-cost averaging or adding positions on dips. Risk factors include leveraged accumulation, regulatory surprises, and sentiment reversals. At the high price zone, risk-reward becomes increasingly asymmetrical; focus should be on pace and risk management rather than simply chasing gains.
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Warden Protocol suspected of a collapse and experiencing a 90% plunge, once again triggering market discussions about AI narrative projects, exchange listing reviews, and the narrative bubble in the crypto industry. While such incidents are unlikely to undermine the long-term development of the industry, they may temporarily dampen market sentiment and prompt investors to pay more attention to project fundamentals and risk management, thereby accelerating the market's clearing of low-quality projects.
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Warden Protocol Suspected Collapse: A Microcosm of a Narrative Bubble?
Warden Protocol suspected of a collapse and experiencing a 90% plunge, once again triggering market discussions about AI narrative projects, exchange listing reviews, and the narrative bubble in the crypto industry. While such incidents are unlikely to undermine the long-term development of the industry, they may temporarily dampen market sentiment and prompt investors to pay more attention to project fundamentals and risk management, thereby accelerating the market's clearing of low-quality projects.
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#2月非农意外负增长 This non-farm payroll report is a typical macro signal indicating "short-term sentiment is somewhat volatile, but medium-term liquidity expectations are bullish."
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#GateforAI重磅上线 GateforAI upgrades the exchange from a "platform for people" to "financial infrastructure for AI"
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Culper Research's short position on Ethereum essentially bets on the "narrative collapse": they seize on information such as gas fees decreasing due to the Fusaka upgrade, questions about on-chain activity quality, and Vitalik Buterin reducing his holdings, attempting to prove that Ethereum's demand is overestimated. However, on the other side of the market, large whales continue to accumulate, indicating that funds have not dismissed its long-term role as a settlement layer and DeFi infrastructure. Usually, during this phase of "fundamental debate + capital disagreement," prices enter a high-
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The core of this market movement lies in "policy expectation re-pricing." On one hand, if Kevin Washington is nominated and ultimately takes over the Federal Reserve, the market will preemptively price in a potentially more explicit, relatively hawkish but financially stable monetary framework; on the other hand, the Senate's failure to pass a vote restricting Donald Trump's actions toward Iran means geopolitical risk premiums are rising. In this combination of "policy uncertainty + potential liquidity game," funds are more inclined to allocate to assets that are resistant to censorship and ha
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