DeFiAlchemist

#数字资产市场动态 The global debt landscape is changing! China has reduced its U.S. debt holdings by over 680 billion in 13 months and has turned to aggressively stockpile gold, reaching 74.12 million ounces. Meanwhile, Japan and the UK are taking on more—this is not just debt restructuring but also reflects a fundamental divergence in the asset strategies of major powers.
When the credibility of traditional reserve currencies shows cracks, institutions and individuals have already quietly switched to defensive measures. The record high in gold reserves is just a surface phenomenon; the real undercurr

#数字资产市场动态 Market Overview for December 30
In terms of market performance, BTC remains volatile, and altcoins generally adjust. Gold and silver also experienced significant declines, with the US stock market moving downward in tandem. The main focus in the past two days has been on privacy concepts—there's quite a bit of activity in this area.
Specifically, the hot spots: privacy coins have performed well this round. ZEC and ZBT are both on the rise, and market interest in shorting these assets has noticeably cooled down, with ZEC's short interest rate even dropping to -30%, indicating that bul

Recently, the market has been behaving a bit strangely. Silver experienced a sudden surge some time ago, but honestly, how many people are actually holding physical silver bars?
The crypto market is even more headache-inducing—Bitcoin is just stagnating, altcoins are flying wildly, institutions are reducing their holdings, and US stock indices are holding high… How do you make decisions at this point? Rely on guesswork? Or just hope for luck?
**The real problem is: you have no idea where that data is coming from.**
Where do the prices come from? Is there manipulation behind the scenes? Are the

Recently, the market trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum are worth paying attention to.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin faces resistance around the 87,000 level. If it breaks through, the next key target is 90,000. This level is closely watched by many institutions and retail investors, so there is still a probability of a breakthrough.
Ethereum (ETH) is currently hovering around 2,900, facing a similar choice. Once it breaks upward, the psychological level of 3,200 will become a new focus. Ethereum's performance often provides a reference for Bitcoin's subsequent trend.
Additionally, keep an

The recent market conditions are indeed perplexing. The two largest market weights, Bitcoin and Ethereum, continue to be under pressure, and the overall market sentiment is relatively cold. However, strangely enough, there are always some small altcoins that are flying against the wind; their prices not only refuse to fall but are rising all the way up. This bizarre phenomenon is worth a careful analysis.
On the surface, these coins' "independent trends" seem to reflect some kind of value. But if you look deeper, you'll find that the real drivers pushing the entire market upward are usually as

Recently, those paying close attention to precious metals markets might have a certain feeling: this wave of price increases is indeed a bit outrageous. Silver's annual gain exceeds 170%, while platinum suddenly plummeted 7% on a single trading day—behind this extreme divergence, it actually exposes a harsh reality: the bubble has already been blown to its peak.
Let's first look at what the data says. The premium of silver over its 200-day moving average is as high as 43%, and the RSI indicator has surged into the overbought zone at 85. These are textbook-level risk signals. What's more concer

Most people realize that "randomness has issues" not necessarily by reading papers, but the moment they see transaction records on-chain.
I am the same way.
It was a small raffle, not a big prize, just for fun. But the same wallet won twice within a week. At first, someone joked in the chat room, then suddenly it went quiet. No one said anything directly, but everyone felt a bit awkward. I stared at the transaction records for a long time, like watching a magic trick that’s been exposed but still continues.
If everything is publicly on-chain, can "luck" really still hold?
In DeFi, randomness i

Funds are always flowing, just like water flowing downhill, seeking the path of least resistance. When a top-tier cryptocurrency is caught in a tug-of-war of volatility, the overlooked small sectors are quietly making big profits in the corners.
This week's market movements have been quite painful. Bitcoin has been bouncing back and forth around the $90,000 mark, with each attempt feeling somewhat powerless. Meanwhile, traditional safe-haven assets like gold have hit a historic high of $4,475 per ounce. This situation looks abnormal—digital currencies' safe-haven halo seems to be fading.
Even

#战略性加仓BTC ZEC Don't rush to short this wave. Carefully observe the market performance, and it's obvious that there is a main force operating—rising, pulling back, then rising again in a regular rhythm. The big players usually wouldn't go to such lengths to dump, which instead indicates there is still room for upward movement. The trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum also provide many signals; in this cycle, their strength will likely drive mainstream coins to rise together. Short-term blind shorts are prone to pitfalls. Instead of frequent operations, it's better to wait until the mechanism becomes

ZEC's recent trend indeed tests people's resolve. Previously, I held a short position at 535, and it looked like it was going to break below 507, but it stubbornly rebounded—this back-and-forth has caught many people in a trap. Observing ZEC's recent performance, the market has been oscillating repeatedly, and the technical analysis does not show a clear trend in one direction, making long-term holding riskier. Currently, ZEC is more suitable for swing trading—identifying resistance levels to short, support levels to go long, and timing the trades to capture profits. If you're still holding a

Many people flock to altcoins for a very simple reason—betting 1000 yuan and, if lucky, turning it into 10,000 yuan overnight, or even more. It sounds tempting, but this is a high-risk, high-reward game. Many jump in without fully understanding this.
I often have friends discuss this issue with me. Some have known about the pitfalls of altcoins for a long time but still can't resist trying their luck. I can't directly tell them "don't play," after all, it hurts to cut losses, and they’re afraid to hold on. Honestly, altcoins are indeed hard to control—whales can pump or dump at will, and techn

Over the years in the crypto world, what I dislike the most are those who constantly hype up "hundredfold coins."

Recently, precious metals experienced a sharp decline, almost at a "flash crash" level. Ultimately, three factors acted simultaneously: trading rules suddenly tightened, the demand for safe-haven assets diminished, and profit-taking by collective traders increased.
What was the most direct trigger? The world's largest derivatives exchange CME announced adjustments to precious metals futures margin requirements—gold up by about 10%, silver up by about 13.6%.
The numbers may not seem large, but they are deadly for leveraged traders. Previously, you could control a position of 100 dollars with ju

There's a saying I've pondered for a long time: true freedom is precisely hidden within those seemingly strict rules.
I still remember the night of my first liquidation. The numbers on the screen plummeted to zero, and that feeling is hard to describe—cold fingers, an empty mind, only one recurring thought: "This thing is way more ruthless than a casino." Over seven years, I've witnessed Bitcoin's crazy rise, and also tasted the despair of three liquidations and half a year's savings evaporating in an instant. During the toughest times, even eating instant noodles required careful planning.
Bu

#战略性加仓BTC The recent market has indeed been interesting, especially with $BTC's fluctuations providing many entry opportunities. How to approach short-term swings? The key is to understand the market rhythm.
Honestly, trading is like living life—you need to constantly refine your trading system while also refining your understanding of life. The two are interconnected.
I've seen too many people blinded by small profits, missing bigger opportunities. My experience is that those seemingly insignificant profits are actually the most stable reflection of a solid trading mindset. Not greedy, not c

Recently, the market has really been quite a rollercoaster.
Bitcoin soared to a high of $126,000 in October and then plummeted to $87,000, dropping over thirty percent in a short period. During this decline, leveraged positions were liquidated close to $1 billion, and the market was in chaos. Meanwhile, gold and silver, these old-school assets, have been climbing steadily, prompting many traditional institutions to declare, "Bitcoin is no longer viable; gold is more reliable." The market fear index once soared to extreme fear levels, with retail investors wailing everywhere, many of whom sold

Last night, the precious metals market experienced a rare rapid decline. Gold plummeted 3%, silver fell nearly 7%, and the bulls were wiped out in an instant.
This is not just an ordinary technical correction. Data shows that $2.1 billion in sell orders flooded the market within 90 seconds, and the Federal Reserve's tightening stance further suppressed demand for safe-haven assets. Key support levels were broken in an instant, as fragile as paper.
But what is more unsettling than rate hikes is that leading companies in the photovoltaic industry are actively reducing their silver reserves. This

#数字资产市场动态 $TAKE This wave of market movement is indeed good, with short positions directly earning 5x profits, which feels pretty comfortable. The current state is like lying down and making money, but honestly, those who prefer stability should take profits now. No matter how enjoyable printing money is, you need to know when to take your gains.
By the way, if you want to continue fighting, you can keep some core positions to try, no need to go all-in. I also want to share with everyone the recent copycat layout ideas—those who want to turn the market around can pay attention to this strategi

Sometimes the hardest part isn't predicting the market correctly, but controlling your own hands.
After careful analysis, you need to be patient and hold, instead of constantly checking the K-line for no reason. This habit is the most deadly—once your mindset relaxes, your operations become chaotic. Even when you're confident about a direction, a slip of the finger can ruin everything. How many times have you missed profits just because of your own mistakes?
The current order plan is as follows:
- ZBT Short 0.22
- TAKE Short 0.49
- NIGHT Long 0.89
This is a trading memo for myself, not advice.