DeFiAlchemist

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The year-end US stock market data is indeed eye-catching. Achieving double-digit gains for three consecutive years, such a sustained upward trend is rare in history.
Specifically, the S&P 500 index rose over 16% in 2025, 23% in 2024, and 24% in 2023. The bull market that started in October 2022 is mainly supported by three forces: first, the investment boom in artificial intelligence remains hot; second, the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle provides ample liquidity for the market; third, the economy continues to grow resiliently despite recession concerns.
However, aiming for another impressiv
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LightningAllInHerovip:
Oh my, AI has to carry us again. Powell turns around and hikes interest rates—what to do?

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Do all three conditions have to be met? That difficulty level is a bit outrageous.

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Basically, it's a gamble that the Fed won't cause trouble; everything else is just talk.

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No one dared to go all-in for three consecutive years, and next year might be the ceiling signal.

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If corporate profits can't keep up with valuations, it's game over. Everything is already priced in.

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Can the current AI hype last until 2026? I'm really a bit skeptical.

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Missing one is unacceptable... So basically, it's missing one. Pick one.
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SOL is now at a critical moment. Will it hold above the 20-day moving average to determine whether it rebounds or continues to decline?
**What are the signals of a bullish start**
If SOL successfully closes above the 20-day moving average, it indicates that the bulls are starting to accumulate. In this case, the market is likely to surge upward, with the first target directly at $147. There may be some resistance around the 50-day moving average at $131.6, but honestly, if the bulls have real strength, this level is very likely to be broken directly. Once it stabilizes above, market sentiment
SOL-1,07%
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LiquidatedTwicevip:
It's that old saying again: if you can't hold the 20-day moving average, it's over. I bet SOL will continue to drop today.
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From the market perspective, Bitcoin is oscillating around 87,600, with Bollinger Bands narrowing, indicating that the market is in a short-term consolidation phase. On the technical side, the MACD indicator has formed an initial golden cross, with the histogram shifting from negative to positive, suggesting that the momentum is gradually releasing. However, the DEA is still hovering in the negative zone, which means that the rebound strength is temporarily insufficient.
Regarding support and resistance levels, the 87,000 line below is an important short-term defense line. If broken, it may co
BTC-1,05%
ETH0,1%
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MelonFieldvip:
Another fluctuation, so annoying

Honestly, it still depends on whether it can break the 87,900 level

The Bollinger Bands narrowing is no fun; let's wait for a big move.
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Recently, I came across an interesting financial news story—Moutai has started limited sales of 12 bottles at 1499 yuan each, sold directly at a flat price, with daily scheduled rushes. This move actually reflects a reality: young people are indeed less enthusiastic about baijiu.
Think about it, the investment stories of the previous generation revolved around stockpiling Moutai and drinking Moutai. But can this logic still hold now? As that main consumer group gradually steps back from the stage, these once-essential items may really become nostalgic relics.
Every generation holds assets that
BTC-1,05%
MEME0,13%
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Layer2Arbitrageurvip:
just ran the math on moutai's liquidity crunch vs btc's on-chain volume... the basis points don't lie lol. old guard's hoarding era is literally done, new generation already bridging capital to better yield farms ngl
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Recently, the popularity of AI agents has not only persisted but increased, and the name ElizaOS has started to appear frequently in traders' discussions. From the renaming of AI16Z to ElizaOS, to the launch of token migration, the story behind it is actually quite interesting.
A major adjustment was made to the supply—raising it directly from 6.6 billion to 11 billion, with the circulating supply also increasing to 7.4 billion. This may seem like diluting the price of each token, but from another perspective, it actually lowers the psychological entry barrier for new buyers. Coupled with rece
ELIZAOS-29,97%
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ExpectationFarmervip:
Supply doubles directly? That's a pretty aggressive move, but on the other hand, the psychological cost has indeed decreased, and newcomers are more willing to take risks.
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Overall, 2025 is still a bit disappointing. Compared to the market at the end of 2024, it was indeed a loss—back then, Ethereum was still around 4000 yuan. But in the long run, relative to the initial principal invested, the returns are quite substantial.
Stocks haven't been very interesting this year, basically just collecting dividends passively with no major fluctuations. On the other hand, the fund products in Yu'e Bao have given me quite a few surprises this year, especially the gold ETF and pharmaceutical fund portfolio, which generated a profit of 130,000 yuan, with an annualized return
ETH0,1%
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MetaverseHobovip:
Ethereum has dropped from 4000 to now, and my heart has dropped along with it. But after seeing the move with the gold ETF, I really have to admit it.

130,000 profit with a 23% annualized return? That's what we should be learning. Don't always focus on the small stuff in the crypto world.

Diversification is truly the key, or you'll just be waiting to get hammered by a single asset.
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#数字资产动态追踪 $BROCCOLI714 $AMP $ZEC
The Federal Reserve's latest plan has been revealed: over the next 12 months, they will inject $220 billion into short-term Treasury bills, averaging $40 billion per month. At first glance, it seems like a strong signal of "large-scale liquidity injection," but if you interpret it that way, you'll be fooled.
The purpose of this money needs to be clarified. Several years ago, continuous balance sheet reduction drained liquidity from the financial system to the point of exhaustion, causing short-term market interest rates to soar like a roller coaster, and bank
AMP23,97%
ZEC-0,27%
BTC-1,05%
ETH0,1%
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GateUser-cff9c776vip:
Blood transfusion turns into water dumping, I've seen this routine many times. Honestly, it's just about worrying about a crash, pretending to be a "technical supplement"—who are they trying to fool?

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$220 billion sounds impressive, but how much of it actually flows into BTC and ETH? It's like the aesthetic standards from the Da Vinci era—try applying them to today's NFTs, and you'll see they're worlds apart.

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If Buffett saw this news, he'd probably mock us speculators again, haha.

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The issue isn't how much the Federal Reserve is throwing in, but how Wall Street reallocates it. Retail investors are always the last to take the hit.

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Schrödinger's bull market is back; liquidity can be both a good thing and a prelude to cutting the leeks—nobody knows for sure.

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Looking at the supply and demand curve, this money will eventually flow into digital assets, but the timing is a mystery. Anyway, I’ve reduced my holdings.

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Another precise move, another technical supplement—just listen. Spot trading still requires careful management on your part.
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Cardano's recent trend has attracted quite a bit of attention. According to the latest market data, ADA is building support around $0.3621, with the price repeatedly consolidating near $0.37. This market behavior indeed reveals some interesting signals.
From a technical perspective, ADA is currently priced at $0.336394, in a consolidation and retest phase. The RSI indicator reads 40.8, showing a neutral to slightly weak pattern — neither overly oversold nor showing a strong rebound. In this state, the key support level at $0.322900 becomes particularly important, serving as a watershed for det
ADA-3,14%
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AltcoinHuntervip:
It's the same old argument about support and resistance again. If 0.3221 doesn't hold, I'll admit defeat... But on the other hand, can ADA really turn things around? It feels like it's been dormant for a long time.
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Every major sporting event, the crypto market reenacts the same storyline.
When the market hasn't started moving, no one pays attention. Once the price surge occurs, regrets abound.
Looking back at history, this pattern is actually very clear.
**2018 Cycle**
During the Russia World Cup, there was no real "sports concept coins" in the market. Any project that attracted capital saw astonishing gains. WICC is a typical example—an average increase of over 6 times. This isn't because the projects themselves are particularly strong, but rather due to the rarity of the theme combined with emotional h
CHZ-4,84%
SANTOS-1,81%
LAZIO1,94%
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NftDataDetectivevip:
nah the whole "wait for everyone to talk about it then it's too late" is the oldest play in the book... except somehow people still fomo in anyway lmao
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#数字资产动态追踪 $TON shorted at $1.5 and lost 2781 USDT. Is this trade still worth holding?
Looking at the current technical situation, the answer is no. Volume, candlestick patterns, and market sentiment all favor the bulls, and the short position at 1.5 has already reversed. Continuing to hold is not about waiting for a rebound; it's about waiting for the trend to slowly wear you down.
The hardest part at this moment is mental resilience—setting a stop-loss may seem like admitting defeat, but in fact, it's the smartest decision in a trade. Losing 2781U versus losing 5000U, the difference is not ju
TON3,18%
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WhaleStalkervip:
Really, if you can't hold on, cut your losses. Don't wait to be slowly drained.
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The market kicked off at the beginning of the year, and $RIVER showed a pullback signal at 8.66. At that time, the plan was just to aim for a simple doubling target, but unexpectedly it hit a low point directly, ultimately achieving a 4.5x return. This is the kind of opportunity the market provides—sometimes going with the trend is more important than overanalyzing.
Since the opening of 2026, many cryptocurrencies have been adjusting, nurturing new opportunities. Besides this $RIVER move, there are several other assets worth continuous observation: ASTER has made new progress in ecosystem deve
ASTER0,3%
FIL-0,98%
BEAT-18,91%
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MonkeySeeMonkeyDovip:
4.5 times? Damn, riding the wind is so cool, I want to try it too.
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Happy New Year! Wishing all traders a prosperous year ahead.
Let's start with Bitcoin. The sideways movement over the past two years has been quite uncomfortable. Yesterday's rebound had some action but didn't yield much profit before falling back down. Today's daily chart still looks the same, stuck in a consolidation zone. My trading approach remains based on high and low points; avoid getting involved in the middle price range.
In the short term, Bitcoin's resistance is around 88,000. If there's a shorting opportunity, consider positioning here. As long as the rebound doesn't break this lev
BTC-1,05%
ETH0,1%
SOL-1,07%
BNB-0,69%
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liquidation_surfervip:
Same old story again, can't break 88,000 and still have to hold it in? This sideways movement is really intense. Last year I didn't even make money and I'm trading more and more like TikTok style, haha.

When can we finally get past this 88,000 hurdle? The brothers' mentality is about to explode.

If 2950 can't hold, then Ethereum is really out of the game. Let's take a gamble.

Bitcoin still needs to wait; don't expect any rebound before breaking 88,000.

Position management? I've already gone all-in, no big deal.
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LIGHT this wave lost again, just a few days ago I deposited several tens of thousands of USDT, and yet it’s still being shorted. To be honest, I feel a bit unconvinced, always thinking it can’t go that high.
There’s quite a buzz in the trading circle, saying LIGHT will rise to $9. So I might as well set my stop-loss above $9. Instead of guessing blindly, let the market verify. If it really breaks $9, then it means my judgment was wrong. If it doesn’t break, then the short sellers’ gains are still pretty good.
This move is purely a bet on an idea—market expectations and actual trends often don’
LIGHT123,78%
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BankruptcyArtistvip:
If you're not convinced, keep losing money. This mindset will be taught a lesson by the market sooner or later.

LIGHT breaking 9 directly liquidates? Save yourself the daily struggle.

Wait, so you threw in so much USDT? Dude, your guts are really big.

The market calls for a rally and then peaks? Wake up, I've heard this countless times.
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Recently, the traditional financial sector has been buzzing with controversy. JPMorgan Chase was fined $9.2 billion for manipulating the precious metals and government bond markets — this is not just a number; it reflects the trust issues within the entire financial system.
This giant has long influenced the prices of gold, silver, and government bonds through unfair means, shaking the very foundation of the global economy. From Wall Street institutions to ordinary households, no one can escape the impact of this manipulation. Even more heartbreaking is that, despite paying hefty fines, the af
BTC-1,05%
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SmartContractWorkervip:
92 million just to brush it off? Laughable. This fine is peanuts to JPMorgan Chase. The problem is, retail investors are still obediently keeping their money in the bank.
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#数字资产动态追踪 BTC 1-Hour Chart Bottoming Signal Emerges, Breakout Just Ahead
Staring at this chart, I noticed a few details—BOLL bands tightening to the limit, multiple moving averages sticking together, indicating a compression phase. MACD momentum below the zero line is clearly weakening (bars dropping to -39.3), the fast and slow lines are starting to converge, and on the hourly level, there's already a hint of bullish divergence. The price is stuck in a narrow range, repeatedly rubbing against support and resistance, with the bulls and bears engaged in an increasingly heated tug-of-war.
What d
BTC-1,05%
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MEV_Whisperervip:
There's a 70% chance it'll go up, huh? You sound pretty confident. I'm just waiting to see if the big players really step in and buy in.
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1000LUNC yesterday experienced a 26% increase, and after reaching a high point, it did not make a new high. It started to weaken in the evening, and although it rebounded briefly this morning, the upward momentum has clearly diminished. Now it has turned downward, and the decline has just begun.
From the candlestick pattern, this upward move has already confirmed the high point. The rebound did not reach the previous rally's height, indicating that the bulls are losing momentum. The support levels below are gradually breaking, and the control of the bears is steadily strengthening.
In the shor
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SchrodingersFOMOvip:
26% gone in an instant, this is the crypto world—happiness comes quickly and goes just as fast.

The short squeeze continued, and the rebound was not strong enough to hide the signs. It's time to clear out positions that need to be sold.

Shorting requires stability; set your stop-loss properly and don't be greedy. If the level breaks, just run.

I don't know how low this drop will go; without clear support, it's a bit risky.

Anyway, I reduced my positions whenever I saw a rebound to avoid getting trapped.
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#Strategy加码BTC配置 The truth behind the 181% surge in silver—this scene has already played out countless times in the crypto circle.
Recently, some market participants in the circle have popularized a term called "the rhyme of history," which essentially means: old tricks, new actors. This time, the main characters on stage are silver and $DOGE.
Why did silver skyrocket by 181%? The reasons are myriad—tight supply, industrial demand, risk aversion sentiment… but the core logic is only one: too much capital with nowhere to go. Big players pump the price, tell stories, create hot spots, then wait
BTC-1,05%
DOGE-1,93%
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LayerHoppervip:
Here we go again with the same old tricks, just a different coat of paint

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Using stories to fleece retail investors, always the classic script

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DOGE and silver candlestick charts overlapping? Now that's "interesting" haha

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Who is the audience and who are the extras? Think carefully before entering

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When there's too much capital with nowhere to go, you have to find a sucker to take the bait. This logic is sound

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Once consensus is formed, the market automatically operates. And then? Look at the opposite

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Silver surging 181% sounds great, but how long this fire can burn, honestly, no one knows

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Every time, they talk about the next myth; every time, someone believes it. I just don't understand where this confidence comes from

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The big players' scripts are already written; we are just the ones caught in the framework

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The issue isn't whether DOGE will rise, but whether you can get on and off the train in time
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SOL shows some interesting movement on the one-hour level. Since the low point at 122, the price has been oscillating upward, even though there was a recent pullback, the overall trend remains bullish. From a technical perspective, the MACD has already formed a golden cross, and the EMA weekly chart provides good support for the price. These signals combined still suggest a potential long entry.
If you want to operate, you can look for opportunities to go long in the 124-122 range, with targets around 130-135. Of course, risk management must be strict, and protective positions should be set in
SOL-1,07%
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NftDataDetectivevip:
sol bouncing off 122 feels textbook, but ngl the macd cross is a bit late to the party here. volume spike not matched by sentiment imo—seems like pattern-chasing at this point. 124-122 range could work if you're actually strict with stops, but that's the thing nobody ever is lol
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Year-end trading is quiet, but Tether suddenly minted 1 billion USDT on the Tron network on December 30 — this is the largest single issuance since 2025. The total circulation has approached 187.12 billion USD, with the price firmly anchored at $0.9988.
Why issue a large amount at the end of the year? A careful thought reveals the reason. Institutions are preparing in advance for active trading at the beginning of 2026. The newly minted USDT takes time to flow into various exchanges and wallets, and this process will gradually turn into buying pressure. Historical data shows that after each la
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ETHReserveBankvip:
1 billion USDT is poured in all at once, this move is indeed aggressive. The end-of-year timing is also deliberate, clearly laying the groundwork for the new year.
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#数字资产动态追踪 ⚠️ The truth about Ethereum's weekly rebound: What does Chan Theory tell me
Recently, there has been a lot of controversy about $ETH rebound. The skeptics say this rebound is weak, but from the perspective of Chan Theory, I want to analyze why things are not that simple.
First, look at the daily chart—two pivot midpoints have already formed, and the structure is actually as full as it can be. What does this indicate? The bearish momentum is quickly running out. Then, look at the weekly bottom pattern, which has surfaced; this is a signal of structural support. Most importantly, the s
ETH0,1%
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BlockchainThinkTankvip:
Chan Theory is well explained, but we believe the key still depends on on-chain data. A second buy without breaking is indeed a signal, but how long this rebound can sustain is questionable.

Based on experience, if a true bear market is to occur in the first half of next year, this position is indeed a good sniper point for bears. It is necessary to remind everyone to be cautious and not to be fooled by the daily chart.

Honestly, I have seen many such technically beautiful rebounds since 2018.

A full daily chart central pivot does not necessarily mean a rise; it is still recommended to focus on whether the weekly chart can hold steady.

A rebound does not equal trend reversal; be alert to the risk of being trapped.

Objectively speaking, those who are now recklessly bullish are actually just venting their frustration.

Only when the weekly support breaks is it a real signal; it’s too early to say anything now.

Year after year, there are tricks to induce traps; newcomers are most likely to fall into this pit.
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