Introduction: America’s Dilemma Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
In 2025, the U.S. economy is at a critical turning point. Escalating trade wars, geopolitical tensions, and domestic fiscal pressures are intertwining, impacting not only the United States but also global supply chains and financial markets. According to the latest forecast from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), global economic growth in 2025 is expected to slow to 3.2%, with the U.S. contribution facing downside risks. The core issue is the exponential expansion of the U.S. national debt: as of November 2025, total public debt has exceeded $38 trillion, more than six times the approximately $6 trillion in 2000. This debt burden has evolved from a structural problem into a systemic crisis, with interest payments now the largest single item in the federal budget, surpassing defense and healthcare spending. Meanwhile, tariff policies and immigration restrictions under the Trump administration have intensified inflationary pressures, and the consumer confidence index in November