🚨 Regarding $MERL , the current market environment makes me more inclined to short.
1️⃣ Supply pressure: 70 million OTC tokens will be unlocked in December, with multiple unlock dates (12/12, 12/15, 12/16, 12/19), significantly increasing supply and putting downward pressure on prices.
2️⃣ Arbitrage selling pressure: Early OTC holders have low costs, and rebounds can easily trigger sell-offs, increasing overhead pressure.
3️⃣ Weak market sentiment: Poor liquidity, and the expected selling pressure and emotional reactions caused by unlocking may exacerbate price declines.
⚠️ My personal view:

🚨 Regarding $MERL , the current market environment makes me more inclined to short.
1️⃣ Supply pressure: 70 million OTC tokens will be unlocked in December, with multiple unlock dates (12/12, 12/15, 12/16, 12/19), significantly increasing supply and putting downward pressure on prices.
2️⃣ Arbitrage selling pressure: Early OTC holders have low costs, and rebounds can easily trigger sell-offs, increasing overhead pressure.
3️⃣ Weak market sentiment: Poor liquidity, and the expected selling pressure and emotional reactions caused by unlocking may exacerbate price declines.
⚠️ My personal view:

🚨 Regarding MERL, I must issue a clearer risk warning.
As someone who has been tracking this asset's unlock structure, I believe the concentrated unlock cycle in December warrants close attention. This month, there are four key dates: 12/12, 12/15, 12/16, and 12/19, with approximately 70 million OTC tokens entering circulation.
Based on my current observations:
1️⃣ The risk from market sentiment is significantly higher than the actual selling pressure.
Regardless of the actual sell volume, the concentrated unlock itself causes the market to enter "risk-avoidance mode" early, with active buyin

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