Analyst: Trump's "Weekend Action" Shadow Reappears, Market Nervousness Intensifies

Golden Finance reports that on March 27, Investinglive analyst Adam Button stated that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard today clarified the passage rules for the Strait of Hormuz: any vessels traveling to and from ports of countries that “support or ally with the Zionist-American camp” will be prohibited from passing, regardless of their final destination or route. The emphasis on “port affiliation” is crucial here. Previously, the market had envisioned a scenario where crude oil could still flow through the Strait of Hormuz to “friendly countries” like India, thereby reducing the daily shortfall to 2 to 3 million barrels through supply restructuring. However, from the current statements, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard seems to be preparing for larger-scale conflicts with other Gulf countries, including the UAE and Saudi Arabia. Additionally, weekend risks are gradually escalating in the market. Trump’s statements are not always credible, and he has previously been inclined to initiate military actions on weekends. Currently, the U.S. is amassing forces in the region, and the market is concerned that Trump may launch strikes on Halk Island or other Iranian targets after today’s close or early Saturday morning. As for whether this will lead to an escalation of conflict or result in a substantial blow to Iran, there is still a great deal of uncertainty. (Dongxin News Agency)