#比特币周期规律 Looking at Matrixport's 2026 forecast, the first thought that comes to mind is— isn’t this just another iteration of Bitcoin cycle patterns in real life?

Reflecting on the experiences over the years, every major wave of volatility has followed a similar logic. The surge and crash in 2013, the frenzy and cooling in 2017, the recovery after the pandemic in 2020, and the all-time high in 2021—these events seem independent but are actually following an ancient rule—the resonance between macro environment and on-chain cycles.

Now, the critical window in front of us is 2026. The Federal Reserve changing leadership, labor market issues, election year risks—these macro factors alone are enough to generate volatility. And the crypto space has its own script: the final implementation of EU MiCA, Mt. Gox repayment deadline, and only 15 months until the next halving. These events are not randomly scattered but tend to cluster together.

Anyone who has experienced a full cycle understands what this dense gathering of catalysts usually signifies—it’s not stability, but intense directional choice. When institutions talk about "active management of positions," they’re not just referring to risk avoidance but seizing opportunity windows. History shows that those who can make precise decisions at the intersection of risk and opportunity are often the ultimate winners.

So, there’s no need to panic in 2026, but clarity is essential.