#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 At this current level, I think the probability of shorting BTC successfully is quite high. Why do I say this?

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price has been heavily suppressed by the EMA 25 and EMA 99. A few days ago, it attempted to break through the 91,000 level but was immediately rejected. These two moving averages have now formed a death cross, becoming a clear dynamic resistance ceiling. The entire higher time frame structure is bearish—this is the main premise.

More importantly, entry signals are forming on lower time frames. After being rejected by the 4-hour moving averages, the current consolidation is very weak, with no decent rebound. If you switch to the 1-hour or 15-minute chart, it’s obvious—any minor rebound will likely see the RSI stall near the 50 line, which means the bulls have no strength and the main downtrend will continue.

This short setup meets three criteria: it aligns with the main trend, the moving average resistance has been validated, and the weak rebound is expected to fail. The momentum is clearly on the sellers’ side.

**Trade Plan (Short)**
Entry: Market price 89,681
First target: 88,250
Second target: 85,500
Third target: 82,000
Stop loss: 91,550

$BTC $VANA $BANK