#比特币对比代币化黄金 From the 4-hour chart, there is an obvious bearish trend. After facing strong resistance at the 15.26 supply zone, the price formed a textbook bearish structure—each wave making lower highs and lower lows. This pullback is not accidental, but a sign that sellers are in control. We are now in a consolidation phase following the previous sharp decline.

The logic behind this trade is straightforward: wait for weakness to appear on the lower timeframes. Switching to the 1-hour chart, you’ll see that any minor rebound is likely to stall at key moving averages (such as the 21 or 50-period EMA). These dynamic resistance levels act like invisible ceilings. More importantly, the 1-hour RSI is very likely to be unable to break above the 50 neutral line, indicating that the bulls simply lack the strength to take over.

Why is the win rate high for entering now? Because we’re shorting a weak rebound in line with the main 4-hour downtrend, with clear targets at several demand zones below.

Specific trade plan (Short)
Entry: Market price 13.26
First target: 12.60
Second target: 11.94
Third target: 11.50
Stop loss: 13.70

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