#数字货币市场洞察 There’s a tough battle to fight tonight at 11 PM. As of 20:30, the market’s probability for a rate cut stands at 87%—down 2 points from yesterday. Subtle changes often hide big moves.

Three key data points will drop simultaneously: Personal Spending Rate ( previous 0.6, expected 0.3. If it falls below expectations, that’s good news ); PCE Price Index ( previous 2.7, expected 2.8. This is the Fed’s most closely watched inflation thermometer ); and Core PCE ( expected to stay flat at 2.9 ).

If PCE jumps above 2.8, it’ll be tough to push for a rate cut, as inflation pressures will resurface. But personal spending data from the Commerce Department rarely surprises badly, as government agencies control the figures pretty tightly.

Don’t rush to go all in now. Wait for the data to land and the direction to become clear—there’s still time to strike precisely. The market fears rash decisions most at a time like this. Wait for the signal before making a move; stability comes first. $BTC $ETH