#创作者激励计划，发帖瓜分$2,000 In the long term, Bitcoin has rebounded during this period and has returned above the bull run trendline. The next movements of Bitcoin have three possible outcomes:

(1) If Bitcoin can continue to stabilize on the bull run trend line, the probability of Bitcoin reaching new highs will significantly increase; Bitcoin may continue to strengthen and rise alongside the continued sell-off of dollar assets and the depreciation of the dollar, with the next resistance level at $91,000. At the same time, it is important to note that "selling stocks, bonds, and currencies" also carries risks. If the situation worsens, with a sharp decline in the US stock market or even a circuit breaker, Bitcoin's long-term outlook may be positive, but in the short term, it cannot remain unaffected and is likely to fall as well.
(2) The US stock market has hit a new low, and Bitcoin is affected by the pullback, returning below the bull run trend line once again. However, it is unlikely to break the low point from April 7. The possibility of Bitcoin reaching a new high is relatively low, but the probability of returning above 100,000 is quite high.
In this case, you can consider shorting near 88500, which means going short on weak altcoins. Even if Bitcoin is consolidating or surging, weak altcoins will still be weak. The principle is to never go for the recent hot ones.
(3) U.S. stocks fell to a new low, and Bitcoin also fell to a new low, and the probability of this situation returning to more than 100,000 is very low. However, judging from the recent performance of Bitcoin, the probability of scenario 3 is very low.