Inflation Situation: ‘Significant progress’ has been made, waiting for more positive data to boost confidence. 2. Labor Market: The labor market seems to have fully recovered balance, with the unemployment rate remaining at a historical low. 3. Economic Situation: GDP growth in the first half of the year seems to have slowed down, but the economy is still rising at a steady pace. 4. Interest Rate Policy: The risks are balanced, and both premature and excessively loose policies could undermine the progress made. 5. Market Expectations: The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is slightly higher than 70%, with two 25 basis point cuts expected within the year. 6. Other Content: Series of discussions have been held on the final proposal of Basel III protocol; many banks face commercial real estate risks. 7. Market Impact: Spot gold and silver have fluctuated and declined, US bond yields have risen, non-US currencies have generally fallen, and the yield curve has steepened, causing the US dollar to rise and risk assets to rise and then fall. (To be continued)
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Jin Shi Data Compilation: Powell's Congressional Testimony and Hearing Key Points