Yang Guang BIT ORDI 4.26 Today's Strategy Current Price 4.67

【Market & On-Chain Core Status】
Technical Analysis
4-Hour Timeframe: Previously rebounded from a low of 4.169, reaching a high of 5.096, completing over 20% gain before pulling back. Currently below the MA7 moving average (4.710), with the MA30 strong support at 4.606. MACD red bars continue to shrink, bullish momentum waning, entering a retracement phase; strong resistance above at 4.75-4.80, key support at 4.60-4.62 (previous chip concentration zone + recent low point at 4.624).
1-Hour Timeframe: Oscillating downward within a descending channel, current price at 4.67 near the MA7 and MA30 convergence, Bollinger middle band support at 4.65, resistance above at 4.72-4.75. KDJ is turning at a low level with slight rebound demand, but limited by low volume, so rebound strength is limited.
On-Chain & Contract Data
Whale Movements: In the past 24 hours, the top 100 whale addresses have collectively reduced about 1.2 million ORDI tokens. Major addresses show small profit-taking actions, no large increases. Main players are cashing out some chips at the high rebound, with no further pump actions.
Exchange Chips: Over the past 24 hours, the total exchange-held ORDI balance increased by 0.52%, chips moved from cold wallets back to exchanges. Retail profit-taking pressure increased, market selling pressure has rebounded.
Contract Market: Latest long-short ratio is 1.01, roughly balanced; in the past 4 hours, open interest decreased by 6.8%, funds flowed out as price declined. Large long positions were liquidated in the 4.8-5.0 range, increasing trapped positions above, making short-term rally more difficult. Perpetual contract funding rate dropped to +0.01%, market sentiment shifted from exuberance to caution.
【Today’s Outlook】
✅ Do not chase highs or blindly bottom-fish. Only after the price stabilizes in the 4.60-4.62 range can you consider light long positions in batches, with a stop loss at 4.57, targeting 4.70-4.75. Only if the rebound hits resistance at 4.75-4.80 and pulls back should you consider light short positions, with a stop loss at 4.83, targeting 4.65-4.62. The main strategy is to focus on high-level shorting.
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