Rebound or Reversal? Holding onto profits matters more than guessing the right levels

BTC breaks through $76,000, and once again the public square is filled with calls of “bulls returning quickly.” But while joining the discussion of #比特币反弹 and splitting the rewards, I have to pour a bucket of cold water on everyone: the current situation looks more like a rebound than a trend reversal.

There are three reasons for this. First, macro liquidity has not yet fully shifted; although the Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes, balance sheet reduction is still ongoing. Second, if the US-Iran conflict truly moves toward easing, the “safe-haven premium” that supports this leg higher will disappear instantly, and BTC could be facing “good news already priced in.” Third, on-chain data shows that whale addresses have made a small sell-off above $76,000.

So my view is very clear: the peak of this rebound phase—around $78,000–$79,000—is already running out of steam. In the final window before the ceasefire agreement expires, my positioning strategy is “reduce as it rises, and keep only the core holdings.”

A specific profit-taking plan: for every $1,500 increase in BTC, reduce 10% of the position, convert the profits into USDT, and deposit them into Gate’s wealth management. That way, even if a sudden spike causes you to miss the move, you still have your core position inside the market; if the market pulls back, you’ll have plenty of cash flow to re-enter and pick up chips below $74,000.

Investment is a marathon. In the fog of speculation, only those who can hold onto profits are qualified to wait for the real bull market’s main breakout move.
#比特幣反彈