Gate One-Click Access to Polymarket: How Can Ordinary People Participate in Event Prediction?

In 2026, a highly anticipated narrative shift is quietly unfolding in the crypto world. As spot and futures trading enter a stockpile competition, prediction markets are rapidly becoming a new engine for traffic and capital due to their unique event-driven logic. According to TRM Labs’ report, the global prediction market’s monthly trading volume has surpassed $200 billion, skyrocketing from about $12B in early 2025 to over $200 billion in January 2026. As of April 7, 2026, the combined trading volume of Polymarket and Kalshi platforms has reached $52.7 billion, with Polymarket contributing $24.3 billion, and in March alone, it achieved a 33.1% month-over-month growth, with a nominal trading volume of $10.6 billion.

Faced with this trillion-dollar incremental track, Gate completed its integration first in March 2026, becoming the world’s first centralized exchange (CEX) to connect to Polymarket.

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is currently the world’s largest decentralized prediction market platform, built on the Polygon blockchain, allowing users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events — from geopolitical conflicts, cryptocurrency price trends, to sports results and political elections. Almost all controversial events can find corresponding prediction contracts on the platform.

Unlike traditional opinion polls or analyst forecasts, probabilities on Polymarket are wagered with real money — correct judgments can profit, while incorrect ones result in direct capital loss. This mechanism naturally improves prediction accuracy. In fact, a Federal Reserve research report confirmed that prediction markets perform “significantly better than Bloomberg consensus expectations.”

On Polymarket, each prediction event is tokenized into two outcomes: Yes or No. If the event occurs, Yes tokens are worth $1, and No tokens are worth $0; vice versa. The market price of the tokens (e.g., $0.60) directly reflects the market’s perceived probability of the event happening (60%).

Why participate in Polymarket on Gate?

Although Polymarket has experienced rapid growth, its native usage barriers have long restricted ordinary users’ participation. Users typically need to register separately, set up a Web3 wallet, transfer USDC across chains (Polygon network), pay gas fees, and perform a series of complex operations.

Gate’s integration precisely solves this pain point, bringing three core advantages to over 51 million users:

1. Seamless fund account access. Users no longer need to manage complex mnemonic phrases or perform cross-chain bridging. They can directly use USDT in their Gate exchange account to participate in prediction trading without additional gas fees. This experience lowers the barrier to prediction market participation to the same level as spot trading.

2. Dual trading mode integration. Gate innovatively introduces a “Prediction Mode + Trading Mode” dual architecture. The prediction mode interface is user-friendly, intuitively displaying “Yes/No” probabilities and odds (e.g., a price of 0.65 indicates a 65% probability), suitable for beginners to quickly get started; the trading mode offers order books, candlestick charts, market depth, and limit/market orders, satisfying professional traders’ strategic needs.

3. Simplified settlement mechanism. After event settlement, the winning proceeds are automatically exchanged 1:1 into stablecoins and transferred to spot accounts, eliminating on-chain settlement waiting periods and slippage risks, achieving “what you see is what you get.”

How to trade Polymarket with one click on Gate — Complete operation steps

Step 1: Update the app version. Please update the Gate app to v8.12.5 or above, which is the minimum version required to use the Polymarket integration feature.

Step 2: Log in and access prediction markets. After opening the app, log in with your Gate account. On the homepage, click the “Alpha” entrance to enter the Polymarket section, where you can browse various open prediction events.

Step 3: Select an event and place an order. Enter a specific event, choose “Yes” or “No” based on your judgment, input the amount you want to buy, and confirm to complete the trade. Closing the position is equally simple — just go to the holding position page and select sell.

Reminder: If you are participating in prediction markets for the first time, Gate also offers a “First Prediction Protection” benefit to help reduce the risk of exploring new features.

What hot prediction events are currently on Gate?

As of April 13, 2026, the most关注的事件 on Polymarket focus on several areas:

Geopolitics and Energy: After Trump delivered a nationwide speech on Iran on April 2 and announced that the U.S. Navy would blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the probability of “WTI crude oil rising to $110 by April 2026” on Polymarket has risen to 67%, up 20% in 24 hours. The total trading volume for this contract has exceeded $24 million.

Cryptocurrency prediction markets: After integrating Chainlink data oracles, Polymarket’s five-minute and 15-minute crypto price prediction markets have significantly increased volume. Chainlink reports that Polymarket’s daily average trading volume has reached about $153 million, roughly tripling the pre-integration level. The combined five-minute and 15-minute markets have exceeded $4 billion, with the first-week trading volume of the 5-minute product alone surpassing $200 million.

Space exploration: Prediction markets around NASA’s Artemis II crewed lunar flyby mission also attract traders’ attention. The mission launched on April 1 and is expected to splash down and return to Earth around April 13 (UTC). Related event contracts on Polymarket cover multiple dimensions, from mission milestones to NASA press releases.

Additionally, Polymarket launched its native stablecoin Polymarket USD on April 6, 2026, fully backed 1:1 by USDC, replacing the previous cross-chain USDC.e, further enhancing platform settlement efficiency and security.

New developments and important reminders in prediction markets

Regarding airdrops: Market expectations suggest Polymarket may issue its native token in the second half of this year or next year. Users who participate in trading continuously may receive airdrop rewards, with an estimated airdrop value per account of $1,000 to $3,000.

Platform upgrade updates: In early April 2026, Polymarket announced the CTF Exchange V2 upgrade, introducing a new order book and smart contracts, significantly reducing gas costs and improving matching efficiency. Full deployment is expected within 2 to 3 weeks.

Risk warning: Prediction markets are high-risk trading products with extreme short-term volatility. Research shows that as of early 2026, only about 15.9% of traders on Polymarket are profitable. Users are advised to participate cautiously according to their risk tolerance. Also, note that settlement using USDC may pose legal risks for participants within China; please comply with local laws and regulations.

Summary

Gate officially integrates Polymarket, opening a gateway for over 51 million users to access the trillion-dollar prediction market track. Through Gate’s one-click trading of popular prediction events, you no longer need to deal with complex Web3 wallet setups, cross-chain bridges, or high gas fees. Just update your Gate app to version v8.12.5 or above, and you can participate directly in global hot events with USDT — from geopolitical conflicts and crypto price trends to sports and politics.

As of April 13, 2026, Polymarket’s monthly nominal trading volume has exceeded $10.6 billion, the probability of WTI crude oil reaching $110 has risen to 67%, and the daily average trading volume has reached $153 million. If you want to seize opportunities in this rapidly growing event trading track, now is the best time to participate via Gate with just one click.

Update your Gate app to v8.12.5 or above now, open the “Alpha” entrance, and start your first prediction market trade!