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Global liquidity cycle approaching a breaking point
This chart shows the liquidity cycle of developed economies from 1965 to 2026:
Dangerous rebound in 2026: Currently (2026), the black solid line is in the process of bouncing back from the trough.
Key conclusion: Historically, when liquidity is at an extremely low point and attempts to rebound, the system is most vulnerable. Any major external shock (such as conflicts in the Middle East) at this time could interrupt the rebound, directly triggering a "dual crisis of credit and liquidity."
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