🚨 BTC & THE 4-YEAR CYCLE

1. Cycle Duration
2018 → 2021: ~1430 days
2021 → 2025: ~1430 days
👉 The ~4-year cycle is repeating very clearly
👉 Currently: first 300–500 days of the bear market
2. Current Phase
After peak ~190k → distribution → decline
Structure: sharp decline → weak rebound → lower high
👉 Still in the mid-cycle bear phase
3. Time & Bottom
Bear markets typically last: 500–700 days
👉 The bottom may occur in late 2026 – early 2027
4. Key Price Zone
40k–50k = potential DCA zone
👉 Strong support + old accumulation zone
5. Money Flow
Retail still hopeful → prone to bull traps
Smart money waiting for lower prices
👉 True bottom = bad news + exhausted volume + no one cares
6. Scenarios
❌ Bad: drop to 40k–50k, long accumulation
🟡 Neutral: sideways between 50k–80k
✅ Good: hold above 60k+, shorten the cycle
👉 Conclusion:
BTC is about 50–60% through the bear market
🔥 The bottom is not the price — it’s the time. $BTC