Escalation in the Iran–U.S. Conflict: Spot price of Brent crude oil exceeds $140 — a double test for the crypto industry: inflation and flight to quality



Summary

On April 3, 2026, the U.S. and its allies carried out bombing strikes on key Iranian infrastructure, which led to retaliatory actions by Iranian military forces and attacks on relevant facilities. As a result, global oil prices surged sharply. The rise in energy prices strengthened inflation expectations in different countries, creating pressure on crypto assets and other risky assets, while digital infrastructure faced even greater vulnerabilities. The cost of mining Bitcoin increased, and changes in the market’s demand for safe-haven assets are worth noting.

On April 3, 2026, the U.S. and Israel struck the Iranian city of Karadja on the Bayk Highway, targeting the Beik Bridge, which is a landmark transportation infrastructure in Iran. After that, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran immediately launched a military response, “Round 90 of the True Promise,” striking U.S.-linked metallurgical industry targets and announcing an expansion of the circle of targets. Brent crude for near-term delivery surpassed $140 per barrel, setting the highest level since 2008; the WTI oil futures price rose above $110 for the first time since 2022. An agreement on passage through the Strait of Hormuz is being prepared, and the global energy market—as well as the digital-asset industry—faces double structural pressure, both on the cost line and on the flight-to-safety line.
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The stablecoin supply volume in the first quarter of 2026 will reach $320 billion, with trading volume accounting for 75% of the total cryptocurrency trading volume. In the first quarter of 2026, the total stablecoin supply reached approximately $320 billion, setting a historical high. During the same period, the total trading volume exceeded $28 trillion, accounting for 75% of the total cryptocurrency trading volume — the highest level ever recorded. During the quarter, the USDC supply increased by approximately $2 billion, while the USDT supply decreased by about $3 billion. This is the first noticeable divergence between the two largest stablecoins since 2022; the share of trades executed by automated programs rose to 76%, while retail transfers decreased by 16%. On the global regulatory front: in the US, the GENIUS bill was officially passed on July 7, 2025; in the EU, the MiCA regulation fully came into force and will be enforced for stablecoin provisions starting June 30, 2026; the Hong Kong Monetary Authority ((HKMA)) is advancing the issuance of the first stablecoin licenses.
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