⚡️ $ETH 4-Hour Short-Term Trading Strategy (Bullish Bias)

Based on the current technical analysis, here is a clear operational framework:

✅ Core Judgment

- Trend: 4-hour bottom rebound + MACD golden cross, short-term bullish dominance

- Risk: KDJ has entered overbought territory (J=110.42), potential for a pullback at any time

- Range: Current price close to the upper band of Bollinger Bands (2059.67), strong resistance above at 2200.11, support below at 2009.78 (middle band)

🎯 Bullish Entry Conditions (Trend Following)

1. Price Pullback Confirmation:

- Stabilize after pulling back to the 2030–2040 range (not breaking below the upper Bollinger Band)

- Or find support at the middle Bollinger Band 2009–2015

2. Indicator Alignment:

- MACD red bars not shrinking, DIF remains above DEA

- KDJ slightly pulls back from overbought but does not form a death cross

3. Entry Price References:

- Aggressive: 2045–2050 (try a small position near current price)

- Conservative: 2010–2020 (enter after pullback to middle band)

🛡️ Stop Loss and Take Profit

- Stop Loss:

- Aggressive Longs: Place stop loss at 2000 (break below middle band + previous low, trend invalidation)

- Conservative Longs: Place stop loss at 1980 (break below key support below middle band)

- Take Profit:

- First Target: 2120–2150 (previous support level, resistance zone)

- Second Target: 2200 (historical high, strong resistance)

- After reaching the first target, consider partial profit-taking, move stop loss to breakeven to lock in gains

⚠️ Alternative Short Position (Countertrend, Caution)

- Trigger Conditions: Price spikes to 2080–2100, then shows long upper shadow + KDJ death cross + MACD red bars shrinking

- Entry: Light short position at 2080–2100

- Stop Loss: 2120 (break above indicates invalidation of short thesis)

- Take Profit: 2020–2030 (pullback to middle band)

📌 Position and Risk Management Tips

- Do not open more than 10%–15% of total capital per trade (for perpetual contracts, even lower to avoid liquidation)

- Strictly avoid chasing high; only enter after pullback support or confirmed breakout

- If price directly breaks below 2000, it indicates the rebound trend has ended; close longs and stay on the sidelines

💡 Key Reminders

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; short-term trading carries significant risk. Always strictly implement stop losses and avoid holding positions through large swings.