#美联储维持利率不变 📉

BTC 15-Minute · Support + Resistance + Trading Plan (Based on New Low 69050)

Information for reference only, not investment advice

I. Support Levels (By Strength)

- First Strong Support (Critical Level): 69050 (new low)
- Hold → consolidation rebound; break → accelerated downside
- Second Support (Dense Trading): 68800–68900
- First catch level after 69050 breakdown
- Third Support (Strong Structure): 68500
- Previous platform + Bollinger Band lower rail
- Extreme Support: 68000 (only reached with extreme volume breakdown)

II. Resistance Levels (Near to Far)

- First Resistance (Strongest Short-term): 69500–69700
- Previous dense trading + MA5/MA10, first barrier for rebounds
- Second Resistance (Bulls/Bears Divider): 70000
- Round number + MA30, breakthrough needed for strength confirmation
- Third Resistance (Medium-term Strong): 70400–70500
- Previous platform + trend line, difficult to break

III. Market Assessment (15-Minute)

- Moving Averages: MA5/10/30 bearish alignment → rebounds meet resistance
- Pattern: 69050 as low point → rebound failing 70000 signals continuation of weakness
- Indicators: RSI ≈ 25–30 (oversold); MACD below zero-line, green histogram narrowing → rebound demand exists, not reversal
- Volume: Declining volume on drops, shrinking volume on rebounds → selling pressure remains heavy, difficult for sustained rise

IV. Trading Recommendations (Short-term, Strict Risk Control)

1. Short Positions (Trend-following Priority)

- Entry: Rebound to 69500–69700 with light position on resistance
- Stop Loss: 70000 (if held, short invalidated)
- Targets: 69200 → 69050 → watch 68800 below if broken

2. Long Positions (Bounce Trading, Light and Quick Exit)

- Entry: Light position near 69050 consolidation (long lower shadow + volume contraction)
- Stop Loss: 68800 (exit immediately if broken)
- Target: 69500 (take profit immediately on resistance, do not chase)

3. Risk Management (Essential)

- Position Size: ≤10% per direction, strict stop loss required
- Key Rule: Do not go long unless 70000 holds, do not go short unless 69050 breaks
- No chasing shorts, no bottom fishing, wait for signals before acting

V. Quick Assessment

- ✅ Above 70000 → short-term strength, target 70400–70500
- ❌ Break below 69050 → bearish acceleration, watch below 68800