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$BTC dropped 4% after the Fed.
But whales didn't sell.
Here's what on-chain shows right now 🧵
Wallets holding 1,000 – 10,000 BTC started accumulating Feb 25.
Holdings: 4.222M → 4.230M BTC.
They have not sold since.
Not even during yesterday's FOMC dump.
Long-term holder selling collapsed 87% in 3 weeks.
Feb 5: −243,737 BTC net change
Mar 1: −31,967 BTC
When LTH stop selling, price stabilizes.
Every cycle. Same pattern.
Miner capitulation is also ending.
Peak selling: −4,718 BTC/day (Feb 8)
Now: −837 BTC/day
Miners were bleeding. Now they're holding.
That's a structural shift.
The FOMC reaction was retail panic.
$71K BTC with whales accumulating and miners holding is a very different setup than $71K BTC with everyone selling.
Context matters more than price.
Pattern matters more than candles.
Watch wallets. Watch miner flows. Watch LTH behavior.
Those three told the real story this week.
Anyways, I expect bear market bottom much lower in 2026.
But bearish rallies can last.
Even to 80k level.
What are your expectations?
Drop it below 👇