2026-03-04 17:20:12

【Bitcoin has taken off, just waiting for Ethereum to ignite】

From a structural perspective, Bitcoin has already led the breakout, showing a clearly stronger trend than Ethereum, characteristic of a "leader leading the way" situation.

BTC has seen volume-driven upward movement on the 1-hour chart, successfully breaking through the downtrend resistance, with volume increasing in tandem, indicating strong bullish momentum. As long as it doesn't fall back below the breakout level, the overall trend remains relatively strong, with very obvious short-term bullish characteristics.

Meanwhile, Ethereum is still oscillating below a key resistance level, with 2150 being the critical dividing line.
Once ETH breaks above 2150 with volume and stabilizes, market sentiment will be fully ignited, and a strong upward surge is very likely to occur.

After breaking through, the first target above is around 2310, where previous dense trading zones and structural resistance overlap.

In simple terms:
• BTC has already led the breakout
• ETH is just one step away
• Once Ethereum catches up, the macro sentiment resonance will significantly increase the probability of a big bullish candle

What’s needed now is not chasing the rally but waiting for confirmation.
The real acceleration often happens at the moment when a pullback completes after a breakout.

ETH9,26%

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橙子研究院

2026-02-13 07:02:51

[Is the true bottom of BTC not here yet? First 80K, then 50K, and finally aiming for 100K — the complete script]

Last night during the live stream, I already outlined the main direction. Here’s a brief summary (the referenced article contains more detailed logic):

The current core idea is:
First, watch BTC rebound to the 75,000–80,000 USD range. During this phase, focus on reducing positions and taking profits; then, there’s a high probability of a retest, dropping to the 54,000–60,000 USD range to find the real stage bottom. Once the second bottom is confirmed, the market will be more likely to enter a large-scale rally, with the target potentially exceeding 100,000 USD.

Therefore, the key to trading is not “holding tightly” or “blindly bottom-fishing,” but:
When there’s room for a rebound, reduce positions to lock in profits; during dips, buy back in low, using volatility to lower the average cost, so profits can be amplified.

In simple terms: survive the wave swings first, then wait for the main upward wave to take profits.

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