#深度创作营


#ETHLongShortBattle
The ETH Long/Short War generally refers to a market indicator showing the combined strength of long (bullish) and short (bearish) ratios in Ethereum (ETH).

✅ Long (Bullish) → Traders who believe the price will rise

✅ Short (Bearish) → Traders who believe the price will fall

Panels or segments like the “Long/Short War” benefit from showing which side is dominant.

🔥 What Does the ETH Long/Short War Show?

The following data is included:

📈 Long Ratio (%)

📉 Short Ratio (%)

💰 Open Interest Size

⚡ Liquidation Zones

🧠 Investor Sentiment (Market Psychology)
Long Short Analysis

70% 30% The market may be overly bullish

50% 50% Undecided market

30% 70% Downward expectation is dominant
🧠 Why is this important?

Because in the crypto market most of the time:

👉 The crowd gets caught on the wrong side.

For example:

Everyone is long → a big drop may come (long squeeze)

Everyone is short → a sudden rise may occur (short squeeze)

Therefore, professional traders monitor not only the price but also the position distribution.
⚠️ Very Critical Point

Long/Short Battle is not a signal on its own.

It must be used together with:

Support-resistance

Liquidity map

Funding rate

Open interest rate change

Volume

Let’s go step-by-step like a real derivatives trader.

🧠 1. How Pro Traders Read Long/Short Data

When trading Ethereum (ETH), professionals do NOT simply ask:

“Are longs higher than shorts?”

Instead, they ask:

👉 WHO is trapped?

Because markets move toward liquidating the majority.
Key Rule 1— Crowded Side = Risk Side

70% Long Too many buyers → downside risk

70% Short Shorts crowded → squeeze risk

Balanced Real trend likely forming

Pro mindset:

Market hunts liquidity, not fairness.
Key Rule 2 — Combine With Open Interest (VERY IMPORTANT)

Open Interest (OI) = total leveraged positions.

🔥 Bull Trap Example

Price rising

OI rising

Long ratio increasing

👉 Retail traders opening longs late

👉 Smart money prepares dump

🔥 Real Bullish Move

Price rising

OI falling or stable

Shorts closing

👉 Short squeeze fuel

👉 Healthy trend

✅ Key Rule 3 — Watch Funding Rate

Funding Rate tells who pays whom.

Positive funding → longs pay shorts

Negative funding → shorts pay longs

Professional logic:

Extremely positive funding = market overcrowded long

Extremely negative funding = squeeze potential
How to Identify a Short Squeeze BEFORE It Happens

A short squeeze happens when shorts are forced to buy back fast.

Professionals look for a 4-signal setup.

🚨 The Short Squeeze Checklist

1️⃣ Shorts Overloaded

Short ratio > Long ratio

Negative funding rate

Meaning:

👉 Most traders betting DOWN.

2️⃣ Price Stops Falling

Even while shorts increase:

Price moves sideways

Strong support holds

This is absorption.

Big players quietly buying.

3️⃣ Open Interest Keeps Rising

More shorts entering late.

Smart money thinks:

“Liquidity is building.”

4️⃣ Sudden Break Above Resistance

Once price breaks:

💥 shorts panic

💥 liquidations trigger

💥 algorithm buying starts

Cascade = explosive candle.
🔥 Classic Crypto Pattern

Seen many times in:

Bitcoin

Ethereum

Major altcoin rallies
Pro Trader Secret (Most People Don’t Know)

Professionals do NOT trade price.

They trade positions + liquidity.

The real question is always:

Where will traders be forced to close?

That’s where price goes.
We're moving on to the actual derivatives trading logic used around Ethereum (ETH).

I'll explain exactly how professional investors think about it.

🔥 1. 5-Minute “Smart Money” ETH Setup

This setup isn't about guesswork.

👉 It's about entering AFTER liquidity is captured.

Professionals call it:

Liquidity Capture → Reverse Entry

✅ Step-by-Step Setup

1️⃣ Mark Liquidity Zones

On the 5-minute chart, mark the following:

Previous High

Previous Low

Equal highs/lows

Distinct support/resistance

Why?

Retail investors place:

stop-loss orders

breakout orders

liquidation levels

👉 These become targets.
2️⃣ Wait for the Liquidity Sweep

Price suddenly:

spikes above resistance OR

wicks below support

Looks like breakout.

Retail reaction:

FOMO long

Panic short

Smart money reaction:

✅ waits.

3️⃣ Confirmation Candle (The Secret)

After sweep, look for:

strong rejection wick

fast opposite candle

volume expansion

This shows:

Liquidity taken → real move starting.

4️⃣ Entry Rule

Short Setup

Liquidity taken ABOVE highs

Price closes back below level

Long Setup

Liquidity taken BELOW lows

Price closes back above
5️⃣ Risk Management (Pro Rule)

Stop loss:

👉 just beyond sweep wick.

Target:

👉 next liquidity pool.

Risk-reward often 1:3 or better.

✅ Why it works:

Markets move from liquidity → liquidity, not randomly.

🐋 2. How Whales Fake Breakouts

Large players don’t chase price.

They manufacture liquidity.

Classic Fake Breakout Process

Phase 1 — Compression

ETH moves sideways.

volatility drops

traders bored

leverage increases

Liquidity builds.
Phase 2 — The Trap

Whales push price slightly above resistance.

What happens?

breakout traders long

shorts get liquidated

funding turns positive

Market looks ultra bullish.

Phase 3 — Distribution

Whales sell into retail buying.

Price suddenly reverses.

💥 Long liquidation cascade.

🔎 Signs a Breakout Is Fake

Watch for:

breakout with LOW volume follow-through

funding rate spikes instantly

Open Interest jumps too fast

price returns inside range quickly

Professionals say:

Fast breakout + fast rejection = trap.
3. Liquidation Map Strategy (High Win-Rate)

This is where many pro traders gain edge.

The Core Idea

Price is attracted to liquidation clusters.

Why?

Liquidations create:

forced market orders

instant volatility

free liquidity for whales

✅ Step-by-Step Strategy

1️⃣ Open Liquidation Heatmap

Look for:

🔥 Bright liquidation zones

(thousands/millions in leverage)

2️⃣ Identify Magnet Level

Ask:

👉 Where are most traders trapped?

That level becomes price target.

3️⃣ Wait for Pullback Entry

Never chase.

Enter when:

price retraces

momentum slows

structure confirms

4️⃣ Exit INTO Liquidations

Professional rule:

Retail enters at liquidation level.

Pros exit there.

If heavy shorts sit at $3,200:

Price often moves UP → liquidates shorts → sharp spike.

Smart traders:

✅ long before

❌ not during squeeze.
🧠 The REAL Institutional Mindset

Retail thinks:

“Where will price go?”

Professionals think:

“Where are traders forced to act?”

That single mindset shift changes everything.
$ETH $BTC
ETH12,7%
BTC6,87%
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