$GUA 1H level has experienced a massive surge and is currently consolidating strongly around the previous high of 0.208, with the price staying close above the EMA20(1H). This is a typical healthy correction after a breakout. The 4H timeframe has formed three consecutive bullish candles, strongly breaking through the previous consolidation range, establishing an uptrend. Although the RSI(1H) is at a high of 76, the open interest remains stable, and the funding rate is only 0.0617%, indicating no extreme greed. The short squeeze trend still has room to continue. The order book shows sell orders accumulating around 0.206-0.207. Once absorbed, this will open up upward space.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)
🎯Entry/Order: 0.2040 - 0.2055 (Reason: The 1H EMA20 dynamic support zone and the pullback confirmation after yesterday’s breakout)
🛑Stop Loss: 0.1980 (Reason: Break below the major bullish candle’s starting point on the 4H timeframe and ATR(14) lower band)
🚀Target 1: 0.2150 (Reason: The first psychological resistance above the previous high of 0.208, and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension level)
🚀Target 2: 0.2280 (Reason: Based on the recent rally’s 1.618 Fibonacci extension level)
🛡️Trade Management:
- Position size suggestion: Light (Reason: The 24-hour increase has exceeded 24%, volatility is extremely high, and risk must be strictly controlled)
- Execution strategy: Use phased profit-taking. Close 50% upon reaching Target 1, and move the stop loss of the remaining position to the entry price. If the price strongly breaks above 0.208 and stabilizes, consider setting the second target at 0.228. If the price cannot hold above 0.208 and falls back into the entry zone, consider breakeven or slight loss exit.
Deep logic: Over the past 4 hours, the price has seen large turnover in the 0.198-0.208 range, but open interest remains stable with no significant decline, indicating that long positions are not being profit-taken on a large scale, and the main force is clearly supporting the market. The buy/sell ratio reached 0.55 during the rally, showing strong active buying. The current order book depth imbalance is -10.42%, with slightly thicker sell orders, but buy orders in the 0.205-0.204 area below provide short-term support. Combined with positive funding rates and rising prices, this remains a typical short squeeze driven market, and pullbacks are opportunities for low-level entry.
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