Solana Technology Foundation and Bitcoin Price 2035 Benchmark: Reassessing the Current Situation and Long-Term Potential

Market Status: Calm Reflection Amid Price Adjustments

Solana (SOL) is undergoing a significant adjustment in the crypto market, offering new perspectives on its long-term technical potential. As of late February 2026, SOL is trading at $76.88, down 54.23% from a year ago. This contrasts sharply with previous forecasts of $125–140 by the end of 2025. Although the short-term decline is steep (a 39.26% drop over 30 days), Solana’s core fundamentals remain unchanged—its innovative design, including the historically proven PoH consensus mechanism, Gulf Stream protocol, and Sealevel runtime, keeps it competitive among high-throughput blockchains.

When comparing to Bitcoin’s long-term outlook for 2035, similar observations are crucial: short-term market fluctuations should not obscure underlying technological value. SOL’s decline from its all-time high of $293.31 to the current $76.88 reflects macro risks and market cycles but also presents long-term holders with a chance to reposition.

Technical Patterns: Support Strength at the Bottom

Solana’s daily chart shows interesting technical features at the current $76.88 level. Despite the recent sharp decline, the 20-day and 50-day moving averages still provide key support levels. Technically, the $75–80 range is testing recent critical support; holding this level could lay the groundwork for a rebound.

The previously predicted bullish flag and V-shaped reversal patterns have extended in time, indicating market authenticity—not a simple straight rise, but a spiral upward after correction. The RSI’s recovery from oversold territory suggests bottom-fishing funds are gradually entering. The MACD histogram has pulled back but has not formed a clear death cross, maintaining potential for technical recovery. The $118–135 zone will become the next key support, while resistance at $146–150 marks an important short-term rebound target.

Fundamental Support: Continued Strengthening of DeFi Dominance

Despite a 97% decline in network activity in Q4 2025, Solana’s on-chain metrics remain noteworthy. Total Value Locked (TVL) has fluctuated, but the number of DeFi developers and deployed applications continues to grow—indicators of real economic activity.

Transaction fee revenue data consistently shows Solana’s leading position in trading volume, even during market downturns. What does this reflect? The practical value of Solana’s high-throughput design (theoretically supporting 65,000 TPS). The Turbine protocol ensures efficient transaction propagation under high concurrency, while the Tower BFT consensus provides fast finality, ensuring network reliability.

With over 2.21 million active addresses, Solana’s ecosystem remains sticky. The launch of US-based Solana spot ETFs and SKR tokens, though now historical events, signals traditional capital’s recognition of Solana’s technological prospects—this recognition is unlikely to change due to short-term price fluctuations.

Revisiting Predictions and Repositioning

Initial forecasts of a short-term target of $160–175 by early 2025, and a more aggressive phase of $200–260, need to be reassessed in light of the current $76.88 reality. This is not a failure of analysis but a result of macroeconomic surprises: regulatory uncertainties in H2 2025, tightening macro liquidity, and overall crypto market correction have impacted Solana’s price trajectory.

However, when comparing Bitcoin’s 2035 outlook with Solana’s technological potential, an important insight emerges: Bitcoin’s long-term price depends on macro policies, institutional adoption, and network security, with expectations exceeding $100,000. Solana adds a dimension—its scalability and application ecosystem competitiveness. If Bitcoin reaches the $50,000–100,000+ range by 2035, as many institutions expect, then as a mainstream Layer 1 blockchain, Solana’s relative value could be re-evaluated upward.

Short- and Medium-to-Long-Term Target Layers

Near-term (2–4 months):

• Support levels: $70–75 (bottom line), $80–85 (technical rebound start)
• Resistance levels: $100–110 (psychological threshold), $125–135 (former support turned resistance)

Mid-term (6–12 months):

• If market conditions improve, $150–175 could be reached in the first half of the year
• $200–225 becomes a new mid-term target, aligning with previous layered rebound forecasts

Long-term (2–3 years):

• The original $260–295 target remains technically valid
• Experts like Anthony Scaramucci’s $2,500 long-term vision is aggressive but based on network leadership and application expansion

Long-Term Reflection: 2035 Outlook

When evaluating Bitcoin’s 2035 price and Solana’s long-term value, the key is: both are influenced by macro cycles and policy frameworks, but their fundamental technology determines long-term competitiveness. Bitcoin’s expected value above $100,000 is based on scarcity and store-of-value properties, while Solana’s valuation of around $1,000 (approximately $1,050) or higher hinges on its processing capacity and application ecosystem.

Extending the timeline to 2035, Solana’s PoH, Sealevel parallel processing, Gulf Stream memory pool, and other innovations suggest ongoing relevance in high-frequency, low-cost transaction environments. Over this horizon, Solana’s price potential is closely tied to its penetration in global payments, DeFi settlement, NFT trading, and other applications—complementing Bitcoin’s macro-asset reliance.

Risks and Balanced Perspective

It’s important to acknowledge the real challenges Solana faces: declining network activity, regulatory uncertainties, and its position within a competitive L1 ecosystem. The drop from $293.31 to $76.88 raises questions about the sufficiency of this correction, which require ongoing observation.

At the same time, this price level offers a new risk-reward balance. For investors confident in Solana’s technology and long-term DeFi growth, current levels may be favorable for medium- to long-term accumulation. Short-term traders can look at the support at $80–85 and resistance at $100–110 as clear technical reference points.

Future Focus Points

• On-chain data recovery: rebounds in TVL, growth in active addresses, steady trading volume as early signs of technical improvement
• Ecosystem dynamics: new application deployments, developer activity, institutional participation
• Macro environment: clear regulatory policies, confirmation of Bitcoin’s long-term trend, liquidity environment improvements
• Technical upgrades: official performance enhancements and protocol optimizations from Solana

From a long-term perspective of Bitcoin in 2035, Solana’s current correction is not an end but a market re-pricing process. Regardless of short-term volatility, its position as a high-throughput Layer 1 blockchain provides a solid foundation for long-term value.