2026-02-22 16:30:56

$PI 1. The probability of the smart contract "not coming out" on March 14th

Overall assessment: approximately 10%~15%

- High probability (85%+): Will be launched on time (at least publicize the contract address, open basic contract functions)

- Low probability (10%~15%): Delay/gradual rollout/only open beta version

2. Why the probability of delay is low (support for on-time launch)

1. Official clear time commitment
The core team has publicly stated multiple times: The smart contract will be officially launched on March 14th (Pi Day), simultaneously opening the DEX and dApp ecosystem

2. Technical route has been locked in

- v23 protocol underlying testing completed (end of January)

- Completed v20.2 upgrade on March 12th, paving the way for the final v23 version

- Official statement: All smart contracts must be deployed before March 14th

3. Ecosystem support is ready

- Mainnet DEX internal testing (February)

- KYC, wallet, and node upgrades proceeding as planned

PI-5,29%

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