$SOL Signal】Two-way Order Battle! 1H Oversold Rebound vs 4H Downtrend, Awaiting Direction Choice



$SOL The 1H timeframe is oscillating narrowly between 85.3-86.6, RSI(1H) hits 38.78 entering oversold territory, indicating a technical rebound demand. However, the 4H cycle remains in a clear downtrend channel, with EMA50(86.42) acting as strong resistance. The current price is falling but open interest remains stable, not panic selling, more like bulls and bears battling at a critical point. The order book shows slightly more sell-side depth than buy-side, short-term direction is unclear, but volatility is about to increase.

🎯 Direction: Watch and Wait( Orders) - Wait for the price to choose a direction before following.

⚡ Order Strategy 1 ( Long):

🎯 Entry/Order: Buy on breakout above 86.70 ( Reason: Breaks above 1H EMA20 and recent oscillation upper boundary, confirming short-term bullish momentum)

🛑 Stop Loss: 85.30 ( Reason: Breaks below intraday low and ATR lower support)

🚀 Target 1: 88.20 ( Reason: Previous minor high resistance on 4H level)

🚀 Target 2: 90.00 ( Reason: Psychological level and strong resistance zone at 4H EMA50)

⚡ Order Strategy 2 ( Short):

🎯 Entry/Order: Short on breakdown below 85.30 ( Reason: Breaks below key intraday support, opening downside space)

🛑 Stop Loss: 86.70 ( Reason: Re-enters upper boundary of oscillation, short-term structure invalidated)

🚀 Target 1: 83.50 ( Reason: Support area around previous low)

🚀 Target 2: 81.00 ( Reason: Next support level on daily chart)

🛡️ Trading Management:

- Position Size: Light ( Reason: Direction unclear, a breakout battle, higher risk)

- Execution Strategy: Once either order is triggered, if the price moves quickly in a favorable direction, move stop-loss to entry price when profit reaches 0.5-1 ATR. After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50%, remaining position aims for Target 2.

Depth Logic: Stable open interest indicates neither bulls nor bears have exited, funding rate slightly negative ( -0.0035%), low short squeeze risk. The oversold RSI on 1H is a potential trigger for a short-term rebound, but the overall 4H trend downward remains the main contradiction. The key is whether the price can hold above 1H EMA20(86.72). Currently at a typical convergence end, a trend reversal is imminent. We do not predict, only follow.

Trade here 👇 $SOL

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