The Rebound I Was Tracking — Market Recovery Playing Out as Expected

The recovery is unfolding right on cue, and this is exactly the pattern I was monitoring. Major cryptocurrencies have reclaimed key support levels: BTC has bounced back to command attention, while SOL has stabilized at critical levels. The structure of this recovery is now the focal point of what happens next in the market cycle.

Technical Structure and the CME Gap Consideration

Here’s what matters for the immediate picture: the CME reference level sits at 84,500$, and price behavior around this zone carries significant structural weight. If we see price spike above this level too aggressively, it leaves a gap below that could later function as overhead resistance, potentially limiting upside continuation. The cleaner scenario I was hoping to see is a weekend close in the 81,000–82,000$ range for BTC, which keeps the technical structure intact and avoids creating structural friction that would slow momentum.

The 4-hour timeframe is the key battleground right now. If this 4H candle holds and closes above 80,000$, downside risk diminishes meaningfully from this point forward.

Critical Support Levels and Risk Management

Before optimism takes over, it’s essential to recognize the worst-case scenarios that traders should keep on the radar:

• BTC: Support at 74,500$
• SOL: Range between 92$ down to 84$
• ETH: Floor at 2,159$

These levels represent where the structure would truly be challenged. However, the probability of testing these significantly drops if the current 4H structure holds. This is why position management becomes crucial right now.

The Path Forward: From Current Levels to Six-Figure Terrain

Assuming we maintain current support, the roadmap points toward multiple escalating targets: 84,500$ → 85,200$ → 90,300$ → 95,000$ → 98,000$. Each level represents a decision point where market structure either consolidates or accelerates further.

The elephant in the room isn’t technical precision—it’s psychological resistance at the 100,000$ barrier. That milestone carries weight beyond charts and indicators; it represents a narrative inflection point that will test both conviction and capital allocation.

Positioning for What’s Ahead

I was right to start accumulating at previous dips, and this current zone is optimal for finalizing long-term positions. My holdings are locked in, and I’m positioned to capitalize on this structural setup. The foundation is set for the move. Now it comes down to execution and patience as the market works through these layers of resistance.