Warm Weather Forecast Presses US Natural Gas Contract Down 17%

BearMarketMonk · 2026-02-14T09:15:58+00:00

The US natural gas market faces significant pressure as forecasts predict warmer temperatures, leading to a 17% drop in gas prices. This decline erases previous gains driven by extreme cold, reducing demand for heating and thermal power generation, and creating a potential surplus that may further lower prices.

BearMarketMonk

2026-02-14 09:15:58

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U.S. Natural Gas Market Experiences Significant Pressure After National Weather Service Releases Forecast Indicating Temperatures Will Improve in the Coming Weeks. This Condition Leads Investors to Massively Liquidate Positions, Causing U.S. Natural Gas Prices to Plunge 17% to $3.620 per Million British Thermal Units During the Asian Trading Session. This Drop Erases All Gains Made Last Week When Contracts Spiked 11% Due to an Extreme Cold Wave Sweeping the Southern United States.

Extreme Cold Ends, Natural Gas Demand Begins to Decline

Although severe cold recently forced consumers and industries to cut energy usage, weather forecasts indicate a reversal ahead. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts that temperatures across most of the U.S. will reach or even exceed normal averages for this period. This weather improvement signal immediately resonated in the market, triggering a massive sell-off of previously high-valued natural gas contracts due to cold weather factors.

Impact on Energy Demand and Natural Gas Price Sustainability

Warmer weather factors could significantly reduce demand for natural gas for two main uses: residential heating and thermal power generation. As temperatures rise, heating needs drop sharply, while power plants can rely on reserve capacity rather than operating at full capacity. This dynamic creates a relative surplus of supply, further pressuring natural gas prices in the futures market. Market investors and analysts expect price pressures to continue as long as weather forecasts remain warm in the coming weeks.

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