The prediction market indicates a 48% chance of a US government shutdown before Valentine's Day, reflecting the level of uncertainty among the investor community. According to Odaily, this probability surged to 57% before pulling back. Data from Polymarket shows trading volume for this event at approximately $87,000, indicating that the market is closely monitoring US policy developments. This fluctuation in probability reflects the uncertainty in budget negotiations among the involved parties.
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The prediction market indicates a 48% chance of a US government shutdown before Valentine's Day, reflecting the level of uncertainty among the investor community. According to Odaily, this probability surged to 57% before pulling back. Data from Polymarket shows trading volume for this event at approximately $87,000, indicating that the market is closely monitoring US policy developments. This fluctuation in probability reflects the uncertainty in budget negotiations among the involved parties.