February 12, 2026 SOL Technical Analysis

1. Current Market (February 12, 12:10)

- Price: Around $81.0 (24h decline of approximately 4.4%)
- Structure: Daily bearish dominance, 4-hour weak consolidation, hourly oversold recovery
- Correlation: Following BTC/ETH weakness, combined with large sell pressure, bears are favored

2. Key Support/Resistance (Precise Levels)

- Resistance (Short Positions Zone)
- First Resistance: 84.0–85.0 (Strong intraday resistance)
- Second Resistance: 88.0–90.0 (Medium-term strong resistance)
- Stop-loss reference: Above 91.0
- Support (Long Positions Zone)
- First Support: 78.0–79.0 (Intraday defense/Heavy buying area)
- Second Support: 74.0–75.0 (Strong support/Previous low)
- Stop-loss reference: Below 77.0

3. Technical Indicators (Core Signals)

- Moving Averages: 5/10/20 in bearish alignment, price under short-term MA
- MACD: Below zero line, negative values expanding, bearish momentum persists
- RSI: 30–35 range, oversold but no strong divergence, rebound momentum weak
- Volume: Decreasing volume on downtrend, no volume on rebound, insufficient buying
- Capital Flow: Large sell pressure, negative CVD, net capital outflow, bears dominate

4. Intraday Strategy (February 12)

- Main Strategy: Rebound to sell high, small long positions for quick entries and exits
- Short Positions (Priority)
- Entry: Under pressure at 84.0–85.0
- Targets: 81.0 → 79.0 → 75.0
- Stop-loss: Above 86.0
- Long Positions (Only oversold short-term longs)
- Entry: Stabilization at 78.0–79.0
- Targets: 83.0–84.0
- Stop-loss: Below 77.0
- Risk Management: Position size ≤10%, strict stop-loss, no holding through losses

5. Key Observations

- Break below 78.0 → Opens downside space, targeting 74.0–75.0
- Hold above 85.0 → Rebound continues, testing 88.0–90.0
- Watch tonight’s 21:30 US Initial Jobless Claims data impact