$XMR Signal】Hold cash and wait — rebound encounters resistance, deep imbalance, waiting for a clear direction



$XMR After a rapid surge, the price has entered consolidation below the key resistance zone (previous high/EMA50). Market depth shows a serious imbalance (-29.22%), with sell walls (around 341.5) significantly thicker than buy walls, indicating heavy selling pressure above. The 4H RSI (53.45) is neutral to weak, failing to strengthen with the price rebound, showing insufficient momentum. Open interest (OI) remains stable, but the funding rate (0.01%) is positive. Combined with the buy/sell ratio (~0.5), it indicates a balanced battle between bulls and bears, with no signs of sustained buying by major players. Although the price is above EMA20 (334.65), it is firmly suppressed by EMA50 (350.24). Overall, the market remains in a rebound correction within a downtrend.

🎯 Direction: Hold cash

The current structure is ambiguous, lacking high-probability trading signals. The price consolidates below the key resistance level (346-350). The depth imbalance points to selling pressure, but no clear short-selling resonance signals appear (no extreme funding rates, no decline in OI, no RSI divergence). Meanwhile, EMA20 provides support, but the rebound volume is shrinking, making chasing longs highly risky. The best strategy is to wait for the price to make a clear directional move: either break through EMA50 with increased volume and rising OI, forming a trend-following long opportunity; or, after a weak rebound, break below EMA20 and the previous low (336-337), confirming the end of the rebound, then consider shorting. Core risk management: when the win rate is low, holding cash and waiting is the only correct choice.

Trade here 👇 $XMR

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