Debate – The 21M BTC Cap Narrative Questioned Amid ETF and Futures-Driven Synthetic Supply Hey friends, big debate heating up: Is Bitcoin's famous 21 million hard cap still meaningful in this ETF/futures world? The core narrative – fixed supply = scarcity = moon – is getting challenged hard right now. With spot ETFs holding massive BTC equivalents, cash-settled futures, perps, options, prime lending, and wrapped versions everywhere, we're seeing "synthetic" BTC supply explode. One real BTC can back multiple derivatives/ETFs/loans – diluting true scarcity and shifting price discovery to paper markets instead of on-chain spot demand. Analysts say this breaks the no-rehypothecation promise: Derivatives game now dominates, making 21M less "hard" in practice during sell-offs. But on-chain cap is still real – mining will hit 20M soon, halvings continue. Long-term, real BTC wins, but short-term volatility from synthetic layers hurts. Do you think the 21M story is dead, or just evolving with institutions? Synthetic supply killing scarcity or just noise? Let's argue! 🧠 #GateSquareDaily #BTC #BitcoinSupply
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Debate – The 21M BTC Cap Narrative Questioned Amid ETF and Futures-Driven Synthetic Supply
Hey friends, big debate heating up: Is Bitcoin's famous 21 million hard cap still meaningful in this ETF/futures world? The core narrative – fixed supply = scarcity = moon – is getting challenged hard right now.
With spot ETFs holding massive BTC equivalents, cash-settled futures, perps, options, prime lending, and wrapped versions everywhere, we're seeing "synthetic" BTC supply explode. One real BTC can back multiple derivatives/ETFs/loans – diluting true scarcity and shifting price discovery to paper markets instead of on-chain spot demand.
Analysts say this breaks the no-rehypothecation promise: Derivatives game now dominates, making 21M less "hard" in practice during sell-offs. But on-chain cap is still real – mining will hit 20M soon, halvings continue. Long-term, real BTC wins, but short-term volatility from synthetic layers hurts.
Do you think the 21M story is dead, or just evolving with institutions? Synthetic supply killing scarcity or just noise? Let's argue! 🧠 #GateSquareDaily #BTC #BitcoinSupply