📉 January 30, 2026 BTC Core Conclusion: Short-term bearish bias, oversold conditions with rebound demand. First, observe the struggle within the 82,000-84,000 range. A break below targets 80,000/81,500; a stable hold tests 86,000/88,400.

1. Key Levels (USD)

- Support: 82,000 (intraday key), 81,500, 80,000 (strong support)
- Resistance: 84,000 (first rebound target), 86,000, 88,400 (strong resistance)

2. Technical Signals

1. Trend and Moving Averages: Daily price breaks below EMA50, short-term bearish dominance; Weekly 21EMA crosses below 50EMA, indicating medium-term bearish signal.
2. Oscillation and Volume: Price weakens along the short-term downtrend line, volume has not significantly increased, raising doubts about the sustainability of the rebound.
3. Indicators: RSI@E6@≈24, RSI@E12@≈32.5, oversold, suggesting potential for technical rebound; MACD bearish momentum continues, no clear bottom divergence yet.
4. Pattern: Intraday break below 82,000 support, watch for confirmation of effective break (needs daily level confirmation).

3. Trading Strategy

- Short-term: Rebound to 84,000-86,000 zone can try light short positions, stop loss at 87,000, target 82,000-81,500; if stabilized near 82,000, consider light long positions for rebound, stop loss at 80,500, target 83,700-84,200.
- Medium-term: Wait and see, look for daily support stabilization or volume reversal signals; if below 80,000, further bearish outlook to 78,000-75,000.
- Risk Management: Position size ≤30%, strict stop loss, avoid chasing highs and selling lows.