#数字资产市场动态 Should Ethereum and Bitcoin be bottomed out? Calm down for a second before deciding

Recently, the market has been falling sharply. Having a hot cup of tea helped me realize: just like brewing tea, the first infusion is cloudy, only after three infusions does the true flavor emerge — the market rhythm should be viewed the same way.

The first round of decline was real, retail investors really took losses; stuck at the 3180 level, it seems like the decline has stopped, but don’t be fooled — that’s just the second phase of wear-down. It’s all about retail investors chopping each other, with no sign of institutional money entering.

My friend was still shouting "full position to buy in" a couple of days ago, and I advised him not to rush. Look at the 15-minute K-line, it’s completely a dead line, no waves, the main players haven’t even started moving, just watching retail investors mess around — it’s like a slaughterhouse taking a break.

$ETH My idea is to choose one of two strategies: if you’re conservative, buy long at 3140-3155; if it breaks below 3118, exit immediately; if it rises to 3220, start reducing positions; if you’re more aggressive, wait for a rebound to 3220-3230 to short, if it doesn’t hold at 3270, cut losses, and look for support at 3165 and 3120 below.

$BTC It’s safer to short in the 92600-93300 range, with 94100 as a defensive line, targeting 91500; if broken, look towards 910 and 903.

The current market K-line looks like little fish darting around, with no rhythm at all. The big trend hasn’t arrived yet; only when that black swan event happens can we see the real move.

The tea is still warm, don’t rush to bottom-fish, let the market run a bit more. Time will tell us who the true trend is.