I want to share some recent thoughts on the market.



First, let's reveal the cards—this stage is the early phase of a bull tail and bear initial.

Trading and content creation are actually opposite in logic. Trading requires following the trend, but if you want to make a living from content, you must learn to go against the trend.

Many people can't distinguish between a rebound and a reversal. Short-term rebounds are entirely possible, but if your strategy is based on a "long-term reversal," it's basically gambling. A rebound is not a trend; it's just an opportunity to catch your breath in the middle. The real big-money moves never occur during rebounds but in the confirmed major trend during that one-sided movement.

Don't rely too much on stories of "project teams rescuing the market." Frankly, in a bear market, desperately maintaining narratives, talking about faith, or trying to support the market has limited effect. Things that are destined to fall, if you force them to hold, will only prolong the junk time. Instead, it's better to let it fall freely; only then does a genuine rebound make sense.

More and more people now want to switch to becoming KOLs or social media influencers. But I have to be honest—relying on words every day isn't very meaningful. The content filled with AI-generated text is the same; many people say they don't know what to write or post every day. The core issue is that input is too little. Creativity isn't some black technology; it's a process of accumulation: watch more, think more, experience more, and naturally, output will come.

The same logic applies to trading. Being able to wait, act, hold, and cut—these eight words can trap most people.

These principles sound simple, but the real challenge is in execution. It's like losing weight—everyone understands "control your mouth, get moving," but only a few can truly stick with it.

Another key point: follow the trend when trading, but dare to go against the trend when creating content. In this era where such opportunities are becoming increasingly scarce, blindly following the crowd will only lead to continuous consumption. Only by forging a different path can you encounter your opponent's position and have a chance to stand out.

These methodologies can't guarantee success, but at least they can prevent you from walking down a fully predetermined path.
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MysteryBoxOpenervip
· 01-20 05:53
I agree with the initial saying of the Bear Tail, the key is that many people can't distinguish between a rebound and a reversal, greed kills.
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ChainBrainvip
· 01-20 05:53
Wait, you think a rebound means a turnaround? Dream on. The real big market trend only happens after confirmation; in the meantime, it's all pitfalls.
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SandwichVictimvip
· 01-20 05:53
Niuweixiong initially made a bold judgment; a rebound indeed isn't a trend, but it's really too difficult to identify now.
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BlockTalkvip
· 01-20 05:50
The words are a bit heart-wrenching... I did fall for the rebound strategy before, I really need to change my gambling mindset.
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BrokenDAOvip
· 01-20 05:47
The project team's support tactics are essentially just distorted incentive mechanisms. To put it plainly, forced support will only prolong the death process. Ironically, most people can't even pass the test of "waiting it out," so what trend confirmation are they talking about? Blindly following the trend makes it even easier to be killed by institutional arrangements. I agree with that. A rebound is basically the same as a reversal—both are driven by gambling mentality. The diagnosis that too little input leads to being pushed out is quite accurate. But honestly, most people simply lack the patience for continuous accumulation. The part about creating against the trend sounds like a game of manufacturing scarcity... It's somewhat interesting but not necessarily valid.
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