#预测市场 I just saw the prediction data on Polymarket about Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January, jumping from 27% to 38%. What does this sudden change mean? 🤔



Honestly, the concept of prediction markets is still pretty new to me. It feels like everyone is "voting" on how the market will move. But I’m a bit confused—are these rapid changes in probability numbers indicating that market sentiment is shifting quickly? Or is there some important news I haven't noticed?

Also, just curious—if I want to participate in prediction markets, what should I prepare? Do I need a special wallet? It sounds like there's an extra layer of "gambling" compared to spot trading, but it’s also quite interesting. Can any expert briefly explain how prediction markets work? It seems like a fun way to understand market consensus.
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