#比特币价格走势 When I saw this news, I was reminded of the recurring pattern that has appeared in the past several cycles—when retail investor sentiment is at its most optimistic, it is often the time to be most cautious.



Santiment's analysis is very interesting: early in the year, retail sentiment was strong, but analysts were warning to stay cautious and moderately pessimistic. This is not alarmism but a genuine observation based on data. Especially at the key level of $92,000—if Bitcoin quickly surges past this point, it could trigger a wave of FOMO, and history shows that retail euphoria often occurs near cycle highs.

My takeaway is that truly prudent asset allocation requires remaining calm during the market’s most heated moments. It’s not about being bearish, but about:

**Keeping your position boundaries intact.** Think clearly in advance about your allocation ratios and don’t change your plan just because prices rise rapidly.

**Being cautious of emotion-driven decisions.** If you find yourself wanting to add to your position out of "fear of missing out," it’s usually time to pause and reflect—are you making a rational judgment or succumbing to FOMO?

**Extending your time horizon.** A strong performance in January does not represent the full-year trend; the patterns of historical cycles are often clearer over longer timeframes.

Information itself is neither good nor bad; the key is the mindset with which we approach it. Maintaining this rationality is the only way to truly keep assets safe.
BTC-3,52%
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