2026-01-20 04:30:36

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 Signs of inflation peaking emerge, rate cut bets heating up!📉

The new data released by the U.S. Department of Labor came at a very timely moment—December core CPI rose 2.6% month-over-month, breaking the market expectation of 2.7% and hitting a new low since March 2021. This unexpected data victory directly ignited market enthusiasm for rate cuts.

How quick was the reaction? Just look at traders' actions:

· The probability of a Fed rate cut in April jumped to 42%, a figure that was still in single digits two weeks ago
· A prominent financial commentator openly stated that this weak data firmly confirms the view that inflation is on a downward trend
· High-level U.S. government officials also seized the opportunity to pressure the central bank, demanding a "beautiful, substantial" rate cut

Of course, the inflation tiger has not been fully tamed—food costs are still rising sharply—but a series of surprising data points tell us that the suffocating feeling is gradually dissipating. This provides the Federal Reserve with more room for future maneuvers.

An interesting question is: Will this macroeconomic thaw become the lifeline for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH to rebound in the first quarter of this year?

What’s your opinion?

BTC-2,16%

ETH-3,36%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

12 Likes

Reward
12
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

MoneyBurnerSociety

· 01-20 12:02

Coming back with market rescue data? I bet five bucks that this wave of rate cut expectations will reverse in two weeks, after all, I am a professional-level contrarian indicator.

View OriginalReply0

TokenomicsDetective

· 01-20 04:59

Expectations for rate cuts are at their peak, but food inflation is still a concern. Does the Federal Reserve really dare to cut significantly? It feels like we're heading into another cycle of ups and downs.

View OriginalReply0

GraphGuru

· 01-20 04:59

Wait, a 42% chance of interest rate cuts? Was it still single digits two weeks ago? This reversal is too quick, it feels like the market is once again hyping stories.

View OriginalReply0

RugResistant

· 01-20 04:59

nah hold up, 2.6% still looks sus to me. food inflation's still running hot and they're already pushing the rate cut narrative... analyzed thoroughly and something smells off about this "surprise" data timing tbh. could be another bear trap before the real reckoning hits. DYOR but i'd be way more cautious than these traders getting euphoric rn

Reply0

zkProofGremlin

· 01-20 04:57

The expectation of interest rate cuts has risen again, but it still feels like the old story; the crypto circle has already started speculating on it. If interest rates are actually cut, there will be no more stories to tell.

View OriginalReply0

WhaleShadow

· 01-20 04:48

Hmm... a 42% probability is indeed outrageous. Two weeks ago it was a single digit, and now everything has changed dramatically. The market's reaction speed is really a bit overhyped.

View OriginalReply0

MoodFollowsPrice

· 01-20 04:47

The expectation of interest rate cuts is coming, but I'm still looking at food costs. This thing is really annoying.

View OriginalReply0