#比特币2026年行情展望 BTC hourly chart shows a bit of a standoff in this wave. The price is bouncing back and forth between 92200 and 92646, tightly trapped by the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, with no real desire to break through.

Currently stuck at 92412, the position is somewhat delicate. From a technical perspective, the MACD's DIF and DEA are showing signs of a golden cross, and the green bars are getting shorter, indicating that the bearish momentum is waning. The short-term downward momentum is clearly weakening, and the market is likely brewing a rebound.

The trading strategy is twofold: prioritize the rebound, and consider shorting if resistance holds.

Step one, light probing. In the range of 92300-92500, you can add small long positions, aiming to catch a slight upward rebound, especially profits from a rebound near the middle Bollinger Band. This segment is relatively safe, with manageable risk.

Step two, high-level resistance. Wait until the rebound reaches the 93300-93500 zone before making decisions, as this is a clear resistance area. If signs of resistance appear—such as increased volume without a breakout, or candlestick reversals—then decisively switch to short. This is the real high-probability opportunity.

Stop-loss setup: place long positions below 92000, and short positions above 93800.

In simple terms, chasing the top or selling at the bottom at this position isn't worthwhile. The market is still hesitating, and the smartest approach is to wait for opportunities and operate in segments. First, profit from the rebound, then set up short positions at resistance zones—this combination offers a better risk-reward ratio.

Market conditions change rapidly, but don’t be led by volatility. The key support and resistance levels are about to reveal their true nature.