2026-01-20 03:29:20

According to the latest forecasts from CME Federal Funds Futures Market, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is as high as 95%, with the chance of a 25 basis point rate cut being almost negligible at only 5%. This indicates limited expectations for rate cuts in the short term.

Looking ahead to March, market expectations are slightly more relaxed. The cumulative probability of maintaining the current interest rate level is 78.4%, but the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 20.7%. Notably, the probability of a 50 basis point cut is very low at only 0.9%.

Overall, the market is still observing the Federal Reserve's policy direction, and the pace of rate cuts is far from as aggressive as last year. This uncertainty is also directly affecting the risk sentiment and capital flows in the cryptocurrency market.

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TommyTeacher1

· 12h ago

The Federal Reserve is just teasing us; 95% likely to stay put. Looks like we'll have to wait until March for any action.

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PessimisticOracle

· 18h ago

The Federal Reserve still has to wait a while longer; lying flat in January is a done deal. We have to wait until March for a 20% rate cut, and this pace is way too slow, incomparable to the crazy momentum last year. The crypto market now really has to look at the Federal Reserve's face to eat, and uncertainty is the most annoying.

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AirdropJunkie

· 18h ago

The Federal Reserve still needs to hold on a bit longer; there's no short-term hope. The crypto circle will have to handle this on its own for now.

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StablecoinSkeptic

· 18h ago

The Federal Reserve is playing "Schrödinger's rate cut" again; anyway, January is out of the question. Wait, does this mean the crypto world will have to endure high interest rates a bit longer?

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0xLuckbox

· 18h ago

95% are still holding steady, the dovish folks are still dreaming Looks like we have to wait until spring for a rate cut, January is just wishful thinking With this data, the crypto market might dip again... After such a long period of rate hikes, there's finally some hope, but it's still too uncertain The Federal Reserve's move this time is indeed stable, don't expect to get rich quick in the short term, everyone

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GateUser-7b078580

· 18h ago

95% chance of holding firm, the 20.7% hope for a rate cut will have to wait until March... Data shows that this time the Federal Reserve is truly different. However, this kind of wait-and-see attitude is the most disgusting for the crypto market; funds are slowly being drained in this uncertainty.

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