Interesting trading signals have emerged. In the past six hours, a new account has been frequently adding to a position in the political prediction market, continuously sweeping at prices between 15 and 18 cents, buying contracts on the probability of a certain key figure becoming the Federal Reserve Chair.

Currently, this account has invested a total of $40,000, with an average cost basis of 14 cents. The market's assessment of this candidate's chances is 16%, currently ranking second in the expected standings. It is worth noting that he has just completed an interview with a prominent political figure, and internal evaluations suggest that his probability of being confirmed by Congress is relatively more favorable.

Such large and sustained position increases usually reflect changes in some informational aspect. Are investors betting on the actual policy direction, or on a re-pricing of market sentiment? The crypto market has always been very sensitive to macro-political developments. Could this become the next focal point repeatedly hyped by the market?