2026-01-20 03:21:16

US core CPI data below market expectations, which usually reinforces market expectations for rate cuts. Once the expectation of rate cuts is established, a chain reaction will follow: the US dollar comes under pressure and weakens, US Treasury yields decline, and risk assets regain attention.

For the cryptocurrency market, this environment is often favorable. Bitcoin and Ethereum, as the mainstream cryptocurrencies, are likely to experience a strong rally under such macroeconomic conditions. The logic behind this is simple—when traditional assets become less attractive and funds seek higher returns, digital assets naturally become a new destination for capital.

However, it is important to note that altcoins tend to perform more aggressively during times of extreme market optimism. Their gains may far surpass those of mainstream coins, but the cost is higher volatility and increased risk. These assets test investors' psychological resilience and risk management capabilities.

BTC-1,92%

ETH-4,4%

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GasFeeTears

· 11h ago

Expectations of interest rate cuts, and it's our turn to harvest the chives again --- Mainstream coins have limited gains, we still rely on altcoins to get rich quickly --- Really? Hopefully this time it won't be a sign of a market crash again --- When CPI is below expectations, it's called good news. Feels like they say that every time --- Altcoins are volatile? Perfect, I love this kind of excitement --- Weakening dollar + interest rate cuts = rising coins, the logic makes sense, just see how long it can last --- Another night of chives being handed over to new investors, everyone be careful --- Funds flowing into digital assets? Sounds great, but in reality, it's just institutions taking advantage of retail investors --- High volatility and high risk are the real truths, everything else is just hype --- Mainstream coins are stable, altcoins are crazy, I bet small coins can 10x

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UnluckyValidator

· 11h ago

Bro, this CPI really is powerful. I'm just waiting to buy the dip. --- As soon as the rate cut expectation emerged, sure enough, the crypto market is about to take off again. Mainstream coins steadily entering the market is the way to go. --- Shitcoins skyrocketing? Come on, if your mindset isn't well-trained, better not touch them. Last time, I got burned out of greed. --- U.S. Treasury yields plummeting means funds are really flowing into risk assets now. The crypto market is about to get excited. --- The question is, will the rate cut really happen, or is it just a false alarm? --- Mainstream coins can be considered, but those small tokens... look tempting, but that's when it's the most dangerous. --- The logic makes sense, but the real challenge is mastering the rhythm in actual operations. --- When CPI drops, people start dreaming of a bull market. Wake up, this is just the beginning. --- The volatility of shitcoins is real. I've seen too many overnight liquidations. --- When the dollar weakens, crypto rises. I've bet on this logic several times already. Continuing to go all-in.

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MidnightTrader

· 11h ago

As soon as the expectation of interest rate cuts emerges, funds start to move, but the ones who can truly profit are always those who can hold on. Altcoins are tempting with their gains, but a sudden crash can wipe out your position. I still believe BTC won't deceive me. It feels like the market is about to start harvesting again, be cautious. Has the interest rate cut really arrived? Let's see what the Federal Reserve says first, don't be fooled by expectations. Mainstream coins are stable, altcoins are stimulating, but ultimately it depends on whether you can withstand psychological fluctuations. When CPI is below expectations, everyone starts celebrating. Rebound rallies often come this way, but don't go all in. Is this really different this time? Still the old routine: expectation of rate cuts - influx of funds - risk assets surge, cycle repeats. That's how the crypto world is—either a big rise or a big fall, there's no middle ground. The temptation of seeing altcoins double is strong, but every time it ends with the bag-holder losing out. Learn to be smart. In a rate-cut environment, it's indeed a good time for crypto, but greed can be deadly. Can't you take profits when things look good?

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PumpDetector

· 11h ago

cpi miss = institutional accumulation phase starting, but tbh the real move happens when retail stops talking about it

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BlockchainDecoder

· 11h ago

Research shows that there is a data contradiction that is often overlooked here—excess returns of altcoins are usually accompanied by liquidity traps. From a technical perspective, when funds flood into low-market-cap coins, the difficulty of exiting positions increases exponentially. It is worth noting that this type of risk was fully validated during the 2018 bear market. Hmm, that's not right. I think this article oversimplifies the transmission mechanism of rate cuts. Citing relevant research from the Kaplan-Zin framework, the rebound window for risk assets is often much shorter than expected. I suggest everyone not to be fooled by overly optimistic rhetoric. Basically, it's another attempt to let retail investors take the fall, especially those statements promoting altcoins. Data shows that during the late stages of each bull market, the frequency analysis of such expressions is basically a top signal. Reasonable expectations of rate cuts are indeed beneficial, but the key is to watch the Federal Reserve's actual actions. Don't just look at expectations themselves. The biggest lesson learned in the past two years is that market pricing often leads fundamentals by too much.

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fren.eth

· 11h ago

As soon as the rate cut expectation emerges, funds start to scramble, this routine is always the same. Wait, is this wave of altcoins about to be harvested again? When CPI is low, just go all in. How strong must your mental resilience be... Mainstream coins should stay steady, don't touch those scam coins. When the dollar weakens, it's time to get on BTC. Altcoins are probably going to play the heartbeat game again this wave. Funds are rushing into risk assets, feeling a bit虚啊 If the rate cut really happens, can Bitcoin break new highs? The panicked retail investors are about to pay their tuition again.

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RektRecovery

· 11h ago

nah this is exactly how the rug pull narrative starts... everyone sees cpi miss, starts chasing alts thinking it's "different this time," then boom—classic exploit pattern nobody learns from. watched this play out like five times already lol

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